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Next: Parramatta Eels vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction (May 23, 2025, 10:00 am) in 64 minutes - Unlock Now

Parramatta Eels vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-23
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Parramatta Eels face off against the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in Round 12 of the 2025 NRL season. This clash features two intense rivals with Manly favored by bookmakers but Parramatta presenting some slight value in odds. The match occurs during State of Origin period, causing key player absences that impact team dynamics and depth.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Sea Eagles hold a strong form leading into this match, reflected in the moneyline odds and their current season performance. Parramatta Eels have been competitive but impacted by Origin commitments which has forced changes in their lineup, such as Mitch Moses and Zac Lomax missing. Parramatta also has Kelma Tuilagi returning from suspension, which may bolster their forward pack.
  • Historically, matches between these clubs are closely contested with neither side dominating significantly. Earlier season encounter data shows balanced contests, and current betting markets suggest a competitive game with a slight edge to Manly.
  • Parramatta Eels have Mitch Moses and Zac Lomax unavailable due to Origin duty. Dean Hawkins steps in at halfback. Kelma Tuilagi returns from suspension. No critical injuries reported that significantly weaken either team's core strength at this time.
  • State of Origin period affects player availability, impacting squad depth and experience. Venue is home for Parramatta at CommBank Stadium, which offers some home-ground advantage. Weather or other environmental factors were not specified but could influence play style and scoring.
  • Parramatta is motivated to capitalize on home advantage and prove their resilience despite player absences. Manly aims to maintain their favored status and extend their winning momentum, also motivated by the rivalry and season standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -225, Parramatta Eels: 180, Draw: 2200 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -6.5: -110, Parramatta Eels +6.5: -120 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to cover -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 45.5: -120, Under 45.5: -110 Over 45.5 points ★★★☆☆ 54%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The prediction leans towards a Manly Sea Eagles win given their current form and betting market odds. However, Parramatta Eels present good value and have a meaningful chance to upset, especially due to home advantage and the return of key players like Kelma Tuilagi.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 26 - 18 Parramatta Eels

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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-22
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

This match between Canterbury Bulldogs and Dolphins is expected to be a closely watched game in Round 12 of the NRL Premiership. Both teams have shown strong performances in recent matches, with the Bulldogs having a slight edge in their head-to-head encounters. The game is set to be intense, with both sides looking to secure important points in the league standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canterbury Bulldogs have been performing well in recent rounds, while the Dolphins are looking to bounce back after some mixed results. The Bulldogs have shown resilience and determination, which could be crucial in this match.
  • The head-to-head record between the two teams is evenly matched, with both teams winning two matches each in their last two encounters. This suggests a competitive game is expected.
  • Notable absences include Kurt Mann and Max King for the State of Origin, which could impact team dynamics. However, specific injuries for this match are not detailed.
  • External factors such as weather and State of Origin absences could influence the game's outcome. However, no specific weather conditions are mentioned as potentially impacting the match.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they seek to improve their league positions. The Bulldogs are looking to maintain their form, while the Dolphins aim to cause an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -315 (Canterbury) / 250 (Dolphins) / 2400 (Draw) Canterbury Bulldogs win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -9.5 -115 (Canterbury) / 9.5 -115 (Dolphins) Canterbury Bulldogs to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 44.5 -106 / Under 44.5 -118 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canterbury Bulldogs are favored to win, given their recent form and home advantage. However, the Dolphins could pose a significant challenge if they can overcome their recent losses.

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 28, Dolphins 19


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Wests Tigers vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 8:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Campbelltown Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Wests Tigers and South Sydney Rabbitohs are evenly matched, with both teams having five wins and five losses. The Tigers have a strong halves combination with Lachlan Galvin and Jarome Luai, while the Rabbitohs are missing key players like Cody Walker. Historically, Souths have the upper hand in head-to-head matches, especially on Sundays.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have similar recent form, but the Tigers have an advantage in their halves combination. The Rabbitohs are missing key players.
  • Souths have won eight of the last ten games against the Tigers, including six in a row on Sundays.
  • The Rabbitohs are missing Cody Walker and Jack Wighton, which could impact their performance.
  • The match is at Campbelltown Stadium, where the Tigers have struggled in recent years, particularly on Sundays.
  • A win would be crucial for both teams, especially with a bye in the next round.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline South Sydney Rabbitohs: -108, Wests Tigers: -109, Draw: 1800 South Sydney Rabbitohs have a slight historical edge, but the odds are very close. ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread South Sydney Rabbitohs: -1.5 105, Wests Tigers: 1.5 -135 Wests Tigers +1.5 due to their strong recent form and the historical struggle of Souths without key players. ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over: 45.5 -115, Under: 45.5 -115 Over 45.5 points, considering the attacking potential of both teams. ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline South Sydney Rabbitohs 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: South Sydney Rabbitohs at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the historical head-to-head dominance of Souths, particularly on Sundays, they might have a slight edge despite missing key players.

Predicted Score: Wests Tigers 22, South Sydney Rabbitohs 25


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Canberra Raiders vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Gold Coast Titans in Round 11 of the 2025 NRL season. This match is expected to be competitive, with the Raiders seeking to maintain their strong form and the Titans looking to improve their position in the ladder.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Raiders have been performing well, recently winning against the Titans in a previous encounter, which could boost their confidence. The Titans, however, have struggled with consistency.
  • The Raiders have a recent win over the Titans, which might give them an edge in head-to-head matches.
  • No significant injury updates are available for this match, but any changes could impact team dynamics.
  • The match is at GIO Stadium, which could favor the Raiders due to home advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but the Raiders' recent form might provide extra motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -305 (Canberra) / 245 (Gold Coast) / 2500 (Draw) Canberra Raiders win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -10.5 -110 (Canberra) / 10.5 -120 (Gold Coast) Canberra Raiders cover ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 49.5 -115 / Under 49.5 -115 Over 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders are likely to win this match due to their recent strong performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Raiders 32, Titans 18


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Brisbane Broncos vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 18 May 2025
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane, Australia

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos face the St George Illawarra Dragons in a crucial NRL match at Suncorp Stadium. The Broncos are favored to win, given their strong performance and home advantage. The Dragons, however, have shown resilience in previous matches and could pose a challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brisbane Broncos have been performing well lately, with a solid team structure and strong defense. St George Illawarra Dragons have struggled with consistency but have the potential to upset any team on their day.
  • Recent head-to-head statistics show that the Broncos have had a slight edge over the Dragons, but the Dragons have managed to secure important wins historically.
  • Injury reports are not specified, but any significant absences could impact team dynamics.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, with Brisbane's home crowd potentially boosting their performance.
  • Both teams are motivated, with the Broncos aiming to maintain their form and the Dragons seeking an upset to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos: -315, St George Illawarra Dragons: 260, Draw: 2500 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Brisbane Broncos: -10.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: 10.5 -115 Brisbane Broncos to cover the spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 50.5 -115, Under: 50.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brisbane Broncos at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos are likely to win, given their current form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 28 – 20 St George Illawarra Dragons


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Sharks Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks are set to face the Melbourne Storm in Round 11 of the 2025 NRL season. The Storm, currently ranked third, enter this match with momentum, having recently defeated the Wests Tigers 64-0. The Sharks, positioned fifth, look to capitalize on recent wins but face a tough challenge against a strong Storm side.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Melbourne Storm have been performing well, maintaining their starting lineup from their previous dominant win. The Sharks have shown resilience but face a tough test against a consistent Storm team.
  • Historically, the Storm have a strong head-to-head record against the Sharks, though recent performances can vary. This history may influence the Storm's confidence going into the match.
  • Key Storm players like Harry Grant are returning from injuries, which could impact their performance. The Sharks have Thomas Hazelton unavailable.
  • External factors such as home advantage may play a role for the Sharks, but the Storm's form suggests they are well-prepared for away games.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points, with the Storm seeking to maintain their high league position and the Sharks aiming to climb the ladder.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sharks: 151, Storm: -179, Draw: 2000 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Sharks: 4.5 -120, Storm: -4.5 -110 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -106, Under: 46.5 -118 Over ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Melbourne Storm at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent form and historical data, the Storm are favorites to win this match.

Predicted Score: Storm 28, Sharks 18


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville

Game Overview

The Round 11 NRL clash between the North Queensland Cowboys and Manly Warringah Sea Eagles will be a tightly contested battle at Queensland Country Bank Stadium. The Cowboys, positioned 6th on the ladder, host the 8th placed Sea Eagles. Both teams come with some squad changes, with the Cowboys key player Jason Taumalolo sidelined due to a calf injury, while Manly has shuffled some forwards but retained their backline. This match is crucial for both teams to maintain or improve their standing in the mid-table battle of the NRL.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Cowboys have maintained solid home form and sit 6th, while Manly occupies 8th position, reflecting a similar level of competition. Cowboys have introduced fresh talent like Jaxon Purdue and Zac Laybutt returning after injury. Manly has made positional changes in the forwards, with Jake Trbojevic moving to lock and Jazz Tevaga returning to hooker, signaling tactical adjustments after a recent loss to the Sharks.
  • Historically, matches between these two teams are competitive with no significant dominance. Both sides have had mixed results when meeting recently, indicating the upcoming match could be closely fought. The even nature of the rivalry adds to the unpredictability of the game.
  • Jason Taumalolo remains out for the Cowboys with a calf injury, weakening their front row strength. Manly has no major injury concerns but has made strategic forward changes. The return of key players like Zac Laybutt for the Cowboys is a positive sign.
  • The game is played in Townsville at the Cowboys' home stadium, which usually gives the home side a slight advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be typical for the region and season, with no notable external disruptions reported.
  • Both teams have strong motivation to secure a win to consolidate their mid-table status and push towards finals contention. The Cowboys, playing at home and with some new players eager to impress, may have a slight edge in motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 118, North Queensland Cowboys: -132, Draw: 1800 North Queensland Cowboys win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Manly Warringah Sea Eagles +1.5: -105, North Queensland Cowboys -1.5: -125 Cowboys to cover -1.5 spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 51.5: -115, Under 51.5: -115 Under 51.5 points total ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Queensland Cowboys -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A narrow home win for the North Queensland Cowboys is predicted due to home advantage, recent squad improvements, and the slight edge in motivation. Expect a tightly contested match with a close scoreline.

Predicted Score: North Queensland Cowboys 26 – 22 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles


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Dolphins vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Dolphins vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Karren Brady Stadium (Home advantage for Dolphins)

Game Overview

The Dolphins and New Zealand Warriors face off in Round 11 of the 2025 NRL season. Both teams come off narrow victories; the Dolphins won 20-16 against the Eels, while the Warriors edged out the Dragons 15-14. The Warriors have a superior season record and current form compared to the Dolphins, and they sit 2nd on the ladder with a 7-2 record, while the Dolphins are 12th with 4 wins and 6 losses. Previous head-to-head encounters this season have been very close, with each team winning one game by small margins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors have been dominant with a 78% win rate this season and a strong recent form (LWWWW), while the Dolphins have struggled for consistency and sit lower in the standings with a 40% win rate (WWLLW). Both teams have shown resilience in close games recently.
  • Two meetings so far in 2025 have resulted in one win each, with close scorelines: 34-32 and 24-20. This suggests a very competitive and tightly matched rivalry.
  • No major injury updates available from current public data, so both teams are likely near full strength.
  • The match is played at the Dolphins' home ground, possibly providing a slight home advantage. No adverse weather or other external conditions have been reported to affect the game.
  • The Warriors are motivated to maintain their high ladder position among title contenders. The Dolphins aim to improve their standing and prove their home strength, making this a high-intensity matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: 108, New Zealand Warriors: -121, Draw: 1800 New Zealand Warriors win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Dolphins -1.5: 100, New Zealand Warriors +1.5: -130 New Zealand Warriors +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 47.5: -120, Under 47.5: -110 Under 47.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Warriors' superior form, standings, and slightly better odds, they are favoured to win a close contest, but the Dolphins' home advantage and resilience make an upset possible.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 22 – 24 New Zealand Warriors


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-16
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium, Sydney Olympic Park, NSW

Game Overview

The Canterbury Bulldogs face the Sydney Roosters in Round 11 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership. The Bulldogs are strong contenders, leading the league with an impressive win-loss record. The Roosters, while having a mixed season, are known for their resilience and ability to turn games around. The match is expected to be intense, with both teams seeking crucial points in the competition.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Bulldogs have been outstanding, with a strong 8-1 record, while the Roosters have struggled with a 4-5 record. The Bulldogs' consistent performance makes them favorites, but the Roosters' ability to stage comebacks, as seen in their recent NSW Cup match, cannot be underestimated.
  • The Bulldogs have won 4 out of the last 14 matches, with the Roosters winning 10. This historical data suggests the Roosters have a slight edge in past encounters.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for either team, but this could impact the game if any last-minute changes occur.
  • The match is at Accor Stadium, which could favor the Bulldogs due to home support. However, the Roosters have experience playing at this venue.
  • Both teams are motivated, with the Bulldogs seeking to maintain their top spot and the Roosters aiming to improve their standing in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs: -260, Sydney Roosters: 210, Draw: 2200 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Canterbury Bulldogs: -8.5 -105, Sydney Roosters: 8.5 -125 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 44.5 -115, Under: 44.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Canterbury Bulldogs at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bulldogs are favored to win based on their recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Bulldogs 24, Roosters 16


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Newcastle Knights vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-16
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL Round 11 match between Newcastle Knights and Parramatta Eels is a highly anticipated clash. Newcastle, the home team, aims to leverage home-ground advantage and recent squad enhancements, while Parramatta seeks to maintain its competitive edge after a strong pre-season performance. Both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities with the Eels having won their recent pre-season encounter decisively. This match will also have an emotional undertone due to Dylan Brown’s impending transfer from Parramatta to Newcastle next season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Parramatta Eels showed strong form in pre-season, defeating Newcastle Knights 44-18, indicating offensive prowess and defensive solidity. Newcastle has been reinforcing their squad with high-profile signings such as Dylan Brown, who brings experience and playmaking ability, potentially elevating their performance this season.
  • Recent encounters favor Parramatta, including a convincing 44-18 win in the 2025 pre-season trial. Historical data shows competitive matches with Parramatta frequently holding a slight edge both offensively and defensively.
  • No major injuries have been reported for either team as of the current date, allowing both sides to field strong lineups.
  • The match is at Newcastle’s home ground, McDonald Jones Stadium, where they have crowd support and favorable conditions. The psychological impact of Dylan Brown’s announced move to Newcastle could motivate both teams differently, with Newcastle eager to prove their investment and Parramatta looking to maintain dominance.
  • High for both teams. Newcastle is motivated by recent squad investments and home advantage, seeking redemption from the pre-season loss. Parramatta is motivated to consolidate their superiority and disrupt Newcastle’s momentum ahead of Brown’s transfer.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle Knights: -132, Parramatta Eels: 112, Draw: 1900 Newcastle Knights win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Newcastle Knights (-2.5): -110, Parramatta Eels (+2.5): -120 Newcastle Knights to cover -2.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 48.5: 110, Under 48.5: -145 Under 48.5 points ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle Knights 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle Knights at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Parramatta's recent dominant pre-season form and current stronger momentum, combined with Newcastle’s home advantage and high-profile signings, the match is expected to be closely contested. Parramatta holds a slight edge yet Newcastle’s motivation and home crowd support could keep it tight.

Predicted Score: Newcastle Knights 24 – 20 Parramatta Eels


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