Match Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-22
- Time: 4:45 PM UTC
- Location: AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar, Netherlands
Game Overview
This match is part of the Eredivisie Conference League Play-offs, a semi-final contest between AZ Alkmaar and Heerenveen. AZ Alkmaar is favored due to their recent form and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- AZ Alkmaar has shown strong recent form, winning against Groningen and Twente, and drawing against Almere City. Heerenveen has mixed results, winning against Feyenoord and losing to GAE and RKC.
- Recent head-to-head matches have seen both teams alternate wins, but AZ Alkmaar generally holds an advantage in terms of overall performance.
- No specific injury reports have been highlighted for either team in the available data.
- Weather conditions are expected to be mild with temperatures around 55°F, which should not significantly impact the game.
- Both teams are highly motivated as they compete for a spot in the Conference League.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | AZ Alkmaar: -208, Heerenveen: 480, Draw: 385 | AZ Alkmaar | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | AZ Alkmaar: -1.25 -101, Heerenveen: 1.25 -119 | AZ Alkmaar covers | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 3: -114, Under 3: -106 | Over 3 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AZ Alkmaar -19% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 -2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AZ Alkmaar is expected to win due to their stronger recent performance and home advantage.
Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of AZ Alkmaar
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