Match Analysis: Kansas St Wildcats vs UTSA Roadrunners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-30
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: UFCU Disch-Falk Field, Austin, Texas
Game Overview
The Kansas State Wildcats face the UTSA Roadrunners in a neutral site match in Austin, Texas. Kansas State is coming off a strong 2024 season reaching the NCAA Super Regionals with a balanced team showing strength in strikeouts, walks, and fielding. UTSA, hosting the game, brings home advantage but Kansas State's competitive schedule and recent performances suggest a close contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kansas State Wildcats return 20 letterwinners and had a record-setting 2024 with top rankings in several pitching and batting categories. UTSA's current season form is solid but Kansas State's broader experience against high RPI teams gives them an edge.
- There is limited direct recent head-to-head data for this matchup, but both teams are familiar competitors in the NCAA baseball sphere. The game will likely hinge on pitching matchups and in-game adjustments.
- No current reported significant injuries for either Kansas State or UTSA ahead of this game.
- Game venue is neutral but located in Austin, favoring UTSA slightly with local fan support. Weather and field conditions at UFCU Disch-Falk Field typically favor well-rounded tactical play.
- Kansas State looks to build on its 2024 postseason success and maintain momentum, while UTSA aims to capitalize on home advantage to assert dominance in this encounter.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kansas St Wildcats: +105, UTSA Roadrunners: -135 | Kansas St Wildcats | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | UTSA -1.5 at -110, Kansas St +1.5 at -110 | Kansas St +1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Total runs set at 7.5 – Over and Under both at around -110 | Under 7.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UTSA Roadrunners 23% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: UTSA Roadrunners at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Kansas State's strong season and depth, despite being the nominal away team, the prediction favors Kansas State to win the game narrowly.
Predicted Score: Kansas St Wildcats 4 – 3 UTSA Roadrunners