Match Analysis: Florida Atlantic Owls vs Tulane Green Wave – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-20
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: Baycare Ballpark, Clearwater, Florida
Game Overview
The Florida Atlantic Owls will host the Tulane Green Wave in the first round of the AAC Baseball Tournament at Baycare Ballpark. Both teams are competing at a high level late in the season, with Florida Atlantic holding home-field advantage in this neutral-site tournament setting. Previous matchups saw Tulane and Florida Atlantic face off in early May, indicating familiarity between teams.
Key Factors to Consider
- Florida Atlantic has shown strong pitching and consistent hitting throughout the season, maintaining a positive win ratio at home and neutral venues. Tulane similarly displays competitive offensive stats but struggles slightly on the road. Recent results favor Florida Atlantic with momentum from late-season performance.
- The two teams faced each other in early May with closely contested games. Historical head-to-head data suggests balanced competition but with Florida Atlantic edging Tulane marginally in recent outings.
- No significant injuries reported for either side ahead of the match, allowing both teams to field their optimal starting lineups.
- Playing in Clearwater, Florida, close to Florida Atlantic's campus, gives them a quasi-home advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be typical for late spring with no disruptions anticipated.
- As a tournament elimination game, both teams are highly motivated. Florida Atlantic aims to capitalize on home advantage and advance, while Tulane seeks to upset and extend their tournament run.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Florida Atlantic Owls: -238, Tulane Green Wave: 180 | Florida Atlantic Owls | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Florida Atlantic Owls: -2.5 (105), Tulane Green Wave: +2.5 (-135) | Florida Atlantic Owls to cover -2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 14: -120, Under 14: -110 | Under 14 runs | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Florida Atlantic Owls -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 14 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 14 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Florida Atlantic Owls are favored to win due to better form, home-region advantage, and current odds, though Tulane Green Wave has a realistic chance to keep the match competitive.
Predicted Score: Florida Atlantic Owls 6 – 3 Tulane Green Wave