Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-28
- Time: 10:36 PM UTC
- Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Game Overview
The Baltimore Orioles are hosting the St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB matchup on May 28, 2025. In the recent head-to-head games, both teams have traded wins, with the Cardinals winning 7-4 on May 27 and the Orioles winning 5-2 on May 26, indicating a competitive series. This game is critical as both teams look to gain momentum in their schedules.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Orioles have shown strong home performance and managed a win in the last meeting against the Cardinals, while the Cardinals also demonstrated resilience with a win in their latest matchup. Both teams have solid pitching and offensive stats currently, making the game evenly matched.
- Recent series have been competitive; the Cardinals edged out the Orioles 7-4 on May 27, but the Orioles took a 5-2 victory on May 26. This back-and-forth shows a balanced rivalry with no clear dominance.
- No major injury updates impacting this game are reported, suggesting both teams should have their core players available.
- The game takes place at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, favoring the home Orioles. Weather conditions and other external factors appear nominal with no adverse effects expected.
- Both teams are motivated to build on recent wins and gain an advantage in the season standings, with the Orioles buoyed by home support and the Cardinals aiming to upset on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baltimore Orioles: -118, St. Louis Cardinals: 100 | Baltimore Orioles win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Baltimore Orioles: -1.5 at 1.52, St. Louis Cardinals: +1.5 at 1.54 | Baltimore Orioles -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5: -120, Under 8.5: -102 | Under 8.5 runs | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baltimore Orioles 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 8.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Baltimore Orioles at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The game is expected to be tightly contested with a slight edge to the Baltimore Orioles due to home advantage and recent performance. The predicted outcome is a close win by the Orioles with moderate confidence.
Predicted Score: Baltimore Orioles 5 – 3 St. Louis Cardinals