Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-18
- Time: 5:35 PM UTC
- Location: Citizens Bank Park
Game Overview
The Philadelphia Phillies host the Pittsburgh Pirates at Citizens Bank Park. Both teams are evenly matched in terms of moneyline odds, suggesting a competitive game. The Phillies are favored slightly on the spread, while the over/under is set at 8 runs.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams have shown mixed performances this season, with the Phillies having a slight edge due to their home advantage.
- Historically, the Phillies have a slight edge in head-to-head matchups against the Pirates.
- Injury reports indicate no major players are out for the Phillies, while the Pirates have a few players on the injured list.
- Weather conditions are expected to be favorable for a game with normal scoring expectations.
- Both teams are motivated to win, with the Phillies seeking to improve their home record and the Pirates looking to gain momentum on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies: -108, Pittsburgh Pirates: -108 | Philadelphia Phillies | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | Philadelphia Phillies: 1.5 -184, Pittsburgh Pirates: -1.5 152 | Philadelphia Phillies | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over: 8 -108, Under: 8 -112 | Over | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8 4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Phillies are likely to win due to their home advantage and slightly better recent form.
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 5, Pittsburgh Pirates 3