Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-25
- Time: 6:16 PM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
Game Overview
The game features the St. Louis Cardinals (28-23, home) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (26-25, away) in a regular MLB matchup at Busch Stadium. Both teams are close in the standings, but the Cardinals hold a slight edge with their home record and overall win count. The game is expected to be highly competitive with both teams motivated to improve their playoff positioning[2][4][5].
Key Factors to Consider
- St. Louis Cardinals are 28-23 and have been strong at home. Arizona Diamondbacks are 26-25 and solid on the road, though slightly less consistent overall. Neither team is on a pronounced hot or cold streak.
- Recent meetings between these teams have been closely contested, with slight favor to the home team in previous matchups. No dominant advantage historically.
- No major injury reports highlighted for key players at this time. Both teams are likely fielding close to full strength.
- Weather at Busch Stadium is expected to be typical for late May, potentially slightly humid but not disruptive. No major external disruptions expected.
- Both teams are in the playoff hunt, with the Cardinals slightly ahead. This increases motivation for both sides, but home advantage and recent form give St. Louis a psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ari: 108, StL: -126 | St. Louis Cardinals win | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Ari: 1.5 (-194), StL: -1.5 (+160) | St. Louis Cardinals cover -1.5 | β β β ββ 52% |
| Over/under | Over: 7.5 (-115), Under: 7.5 (-105) | Under 7.5 runs | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 7.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cardinals are favored by the odds, with a slight edge due to home field and recent form. Expect a tight game, but the Cardinals are predicted to cover the spread by a narrow margin.
Predicted Score: St. Louis Cardinals 4, Arizona Diamondbacks 3