Match Analysis: New York Yankees vs New York Mets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-17
- Time: 5:05 PM UTC
- Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Game Overview
The New York Yankees host the New York Mets in a tightly contested inter-city MLB match at Yankee Stadium. Both teams are competing in the 2025 MLB season with recent head-to-head games showcasing competitive play, including a Mets loss to the Yankees 6-2 on May 16, 2025. The game features key hitters like Juan Soto for the Mets and Paul Goldschmidt for the Yankees, with pitching matchups and recent performance trends critical to the outcome.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Yankees hold a slight edge with recent home form and a win in the latest encounter on May 16, 2025, beating the Mets 6-2. The Mets have struggled on the road and in their last few games, including a 4-0 loss on May 14 at home. The Yankees' pitching and offense have been more consistent recently.
- The teams faced off on May 16, 2025, with the Yankees beating the Mets 6-2. Historically, these cross-town rivals have close matchups, but the Yankees have maintained a slight upper hand in the current season series.
- No significant injury reports publicly available for either team affecting key starters or hitters for this match, indicating both teams are near full strength.
- The game is played at Yankee Stadium, giving the Yankees home-field advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be stable with no reported disruptions. Psychological and fan support factors favor the Yankees.
- The Yankees are motivated to continue their winning streak and capitalize on home advantage, while the Mets seek to bounce back after their recent losses and prove resilience in a fierce rivalry.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | New York Mets: 113, New York Yankees: -125 | New York Yankees | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | New York Mets: 1.5 -175, New York Yankees: -1.5 153 | New York Yankees -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over: 9.5 -115, Under: 9.5 -105 | Under 9.5 total runs | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Yankees -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 9.5 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The New York Yankees are favored to win due to stronger recent performance, home advantage, and momentum from their previous victory over the Mets.
Predicted Score: New York Yankees 5 – New York Mets 3