Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Botafogo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-18
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Game Overview
Flamengo vs Botafogo is a high-stakes match in the Brazilian Campeonato, with Flamengo favored due to their strong past performances against Botafogo. Flamengo has a significant edge in head-to-head statistics, but Botafogo has shown resilience in recent games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Flamengo has historically dominated over Botafogo, winning 36 of their last 80 encounters. However, Botafogo has shown strong recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 games.
- Flamengo leads in head-to-head matches with 36 wins compared to Botafogo's 15 wins and 29 draws since 2004.
- No significant injury updates are available for this match.
- External factors such as weather and crowd support may favor Flamengo, given the match is at their home stadium.
- Both teams are motivated for league points, but Flamengo might have an edge due to their dominance in past encounters.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Flamengo -165, Botafogo 500, Draw 285 | Flamengo | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Flamengo -0.75 -125, Botafogo +75 105 | Flamengo -0.75 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over/under | Over 2.25 100, Under 2.25 -120 | Over 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Flamengo -12% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.25 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Flamengo is likely to win due to their strong past performance against Botafogo and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Flamengo 2 – 0 Botafogo