Match Analysis: Arsenal vs Newcastle United – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-18
- Time: 3:30 PM UTC
- Location: Emirates Stadium, London, England
Game Overview
This Premier League match pits Arsenal against Newcastle United on May 18, 2025. Arsenal is seeking to improve their standings, while Newcastle aims to maintain their form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arsenal has been consistent in the league, while Newcastle has shown impressive resilience, particularly in recent performances against top teams.
- Recent head-to-heads favor Newcastle, with victories in the Carabao Cup and a Premier League win earlier in the season.
- Arsenal faces several injuries, including L. Trossard and Gabriel Jesus, which could weaken their lineup. Newcastle has injuries as well, notably to S. Botman and Joelinton.
- The match is crucial for both teams' end-of-season positioning and may influence their summer transfers and squad dynamics.
- Arsenal is motivated to secure a strong finish to the season, while Newcastle looks to maintain their standing in the league table.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Arsenal: -105, Newcastle United: 260, Draw: 260 | Arsenal | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Arsenal: -0.5 -108, Newcastle United: 50 -123 | Arsenal | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over: 2.5 -141, Under: 2.5 106 | Over | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Arsenal -12% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 -11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arsenal is expected to win, given their home advantage and recent form, but Newcastle's recent performances suggest they could cause an upset.
Predicted Score: Arsenal 2, Newcastle 1