Match Analysis: AC Milan vs Monza – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-24
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan, Italy
Game Overview
AC Milan hosts Monza in a Serie A match on May 24, 2025, at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza. AC Milan is currently ranked 9th in Serie A, while Monza is at the bottom of the table in 20th position. Historically, AC Milan has a strong advantage in head-to-head matches, having won 8 out of 9 meetings with Monza.
Key Factors to Consider
- AC Milan has shown good form in Serie A, winning 8 home games at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Monza, on the other hand, is in poor form, having won only two away games all season.
- AC Milan has a dominant record against Monza, winning 7 out of their last 9 meetings.
- Injuries are not detailed in the current data, but they could impact team performance. However, based on past trends, AC Milan's depth and Monza's lack thereof might influence the outcome.
- External factors such as weather conditions, crowd influence, and referee decisions could affect the match but are not detailed in the data.
- AC Milan will likely be highly motivated to secure a win to improve their position in Serie A, while Monza might be looking to cause an upset to avoid relegation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | AC Milan: -435, Monza: 900, Draw: 600 | AC Milan win | β β β β β 80% |
| Spread | AC Milan: -2 -102, Monza: 2 -118 | AC Milan to cover the spread | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 3.5 -115, Under: 3.5 -105 | Over 3.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | AC Milan -14% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given AC Milan's strong historical advantage and current form, they are likely to win the match. The odds favor AC Milan significantly.
Predicted Score: AC Milan 3, Monza 1