Match Analysis: Sacramento St Hornets vs Grand Canyon Antelopes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-22
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Sacramento State Hornets Home Field
Game Overview
The Sacramento State Hornets will face the Grand Canyon Antelopes in an NCAA regular season baseball game. Both teams have competitive records in their respective conferences, with recent meetings indicating a close rivalry. The game is expected to be tightly contested given the equal moneyline odds and recent performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sacramento State holds a 28-20 overall record with a strong 12-6 conference performance as of early May 2025. Grand Canyon has also been solid, winning recent series including a decisive victory over Sacramento State earlier in May. Both teams have shown capability to win at home and on the road, with Sacramento State having home advantage in this matchup.
- Recent head-to-head matchups are balanced, with Grand Canyon winning the last series finale on May 4, 2025, which points to a closely matched rivalry. Both teams have competitive records against each other, indicating no clear dominance in recent encounters.
- No significant injury reports are available for either team at this time, suggesting both are likely to field their strongest lineups.
- The game will be played at Sacramento Stateβs home venue, potentially benefiting the Hornets with familiar conditions. Weather and other environmental conditions appear normal with no major disruptions expected.
- Given the proximity in conference standings and recent competition, both teams are highly motivated to secure a win to improve postseason positioning. Sacramento State will capitalize on home field advantage, while Grand Canyon seeks redemption after their recent close victory over the Hornets.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Grand Canyon Antelopes: -115, Sacramento State Hornets: -115 | Sacramento State Hornets | β β β ββ 58% |
| Spread | Grand Canyon Antelopes: -1.5 140, Sacramento State Hornets: 1.5 -180 | Sacramento State Hornets +1.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over: 12.5 -115, Under: 12.5 -115 | Under 12.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sacramento St Hornets 8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 12.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 12.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The match is projected to be highly competitive. However, Sacramento Stateβs home field advantage coupled with their motivation to rebound from the earlier loss gives them a slight edge in this contest.
Predicted Score: Sacramento State Hornets 6 – 5 Grand Canyon Antelopes