Match Analysis: Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-22
- Time: 7:10 PM UTC
- Location: Coors Field, Denver, Colorado
Game Overview
The Philadelphia Phillies (31-18), leading the NL East, visit the Colorado Rockies (8-41), struggling at the bottom of the NL West, for a game at Coors Field. The Phillies are on a winning streak and have demonstrated strong offensive and pitching performances, while the Rockies have had a difficult season with poor results both offensively and defensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Phillies have a solid overall record (31-18), showing consistency and dominance in their division. They won their previous game against the Rockies 9-5, highlighting their offensive capability. The Rockies have a poor record (8-41) and are currently one of the weakest teams in the league, struggling to contain opposing offenses and produce runs.[2][3]
- The recent matchup on May 21, 2025, saw the Phillies defeat the Rockies 9-5 at Coors Field. The Phillies have had the upper hand in recent encounters this season, both offensively and defensively.[3]
- No major injury information is available at this time for either team that would significantly impact pitching or batting lineups.
- Coors Field is known for being a hitter-friendly ballpark due to its high altitude, which tends to increase scoring. Weather is expected to be typical for Denver in late May, with no adverse conditions forecasted.
- Philadelphia, leading their division and on a winning streak, are motivated to extend their lead. Colorado is struggling and aiming to break their losing streak and gain morale with a home victory.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Rockies: 240, Philadelphia Phillies: -295 | Philadelphia Phillies | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Colorado Rockies +1.5: 168, Philadelphia Phillies -1.5: -205 | Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 11: -110, Under 11: -110 | Over 11 runs | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 11 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 11 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Phillies are favored to win the match given their strong recent form, superior team performance, and momentum from the previous victory against the Rockies.
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 8 – Colorado Rockies 4