Match Analysis: Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-17
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Charlotte FC Home Stadium
Game Overview
Charlotte FC hosts Chicago Fire in a Major League Soccer match, with Charlotte having a stronger recent head-to-head record and slightly better home form. Chicago Fire has struggled with away wins, while Charlotte has dominated past encounters between the two teams.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlotte FC has shown moderate scoring ability with an average of 1.21 goals per match this season, achieving 11 wins, 10 draws, and 19 losses overall. Chicago Fire is underperforming, with only 2 away wins recently and generally poorer form. Both teams have a propensity for matches going over 1.5 goals, with Charlotte FC's home matches reaching over 2.5 goals about one-third of the time.
- In five competitive matches between Charlotte FC and Chicago Fire, Charlotte has won 4 times, while Chicago has won once, with no draws recorded. On average, matches between these teams have produced about 3.2 goals, indicating a moderately high scoring tendency. Charlotte’s dominance in H2H encounters and the higher average goals scored support an attacking game trend.
- No specific injury reports or lineup changes are available from the current data, which may suggest both teams are likely to field their standard squads.
- No major external factors such as weather disruptions or significant travel issues have been reported. The match being played at Charlotte’s home ground gives them a potential advantage.
- Charlotte FC likely enters the match with stronger motivation due to better recent results and home advantage, whereas Chicago Fire faces pressure to improve their poor away form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC: -102, Chicago Fire: 250, Draw: 270 | Charlotte FC win | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Charlotte FC -0.5: -106, Chicago Fire +50: -125 | Charlotte FC -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -172, Under 2.5: 128 | Over 2.5 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC 15% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 -2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Charlotte FC at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charlotte FC is favored to win this match, leveraging home advantage and historical superiority over Chicago Fire. The match is likely to feature goals, potentially exceeding 2.5 total.
Predicted Score: 2-1