Match Analysis: Ceará vs Sport Recife – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-17
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Castelão, Fortaleza, Brazil
Game Overview
Ceará, currently ranked 6th in the Brasileirão Betano, is facing Sport Recife, who holds the 20th position. Ceará is favored to win, given their stronger league standing and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ceará has performed better in recent matches, winning 3 out of their last 5 games with an average of 2.0 goals scored per match. Sport Recife won 2 out of their last 5 games, averaging 1.6 goals per match.
- In the past, Ceará and Sport Recife have had closely contested matches. Ceará has won 8 times, Sport Recife 7 times, and 4 matches ended in a draw across their last 19 meetings.
- No specific injury reports are available for this match.
- Ceará's home advantage at Estádio Castelão could play a significant role in their performance.
- Ceará is highly motivated to maintain their position in the league, while Sport Recife seeks to improve their standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -105 for Ceará, 320 for Sport Recife, 235 for Draw | Ceará to win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | -0.5 for Ceará at -105, 50 for Sport Recife at -115 | Ceará to cover the spread | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 2 at -112, Under 2 at -108 | Over 2 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Ceará 17% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2 -2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Ceará at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on recent performance and home advantage, Ceará is likely to win. However, the match might be closely contested.
Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Ceará