Match Analysis: 1. FC Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-17
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der Brenz, Germany
Game Overview
A crucial Bundesliga match between 1. FC Heidenheim (16th, 29 points) and Werder Bremen (8th, 48 points). Heidenheim are fighting relegation, while Bremen seek to consolidate their upper-midtable position and continue their recent positive form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Heidenheim have struggled this season, with 20 losses in 33 league matches. However, they recently secured a 3-0 win over Union Berlin. Bremen have shown resilience, winning 3 of their last 6 matches.
- Heidenheim have won 3 of the last 6 meetings against Werder Bremen across various competitions.
- No major injury updates available at this time.
- No significant weather problems expected; home crowd may provide slight advantage to Heidenheim.
- Heidenheim need points to avoid relegation; Bremen are motivated to finish the season strongly.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Heidenheim: 130, Bremen: 180, Draw: 290 | Werder Bremen (slight edge, narrow win expected) | Medium (65%) |
Spread | Heidenheim -0.25: 102, Bremen +25: -122 | Werder Bremen +0.25 (covers or pushes the spread) | Medium (60%) |
Over/under | Over 3.25: 100, Under 3.25: -120 | Under 3.25 goals (low scoring, tight match expected) | Medium (60%) |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Werder Bremen 12% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3.25 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Werder Bremen at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Werder Bremen are in better form and have a stronger overall squad, but Heidenheim have shown resilience at home and in head-to-head matchups. The prediction leans toward Bremen securing a narrow win, but the match could be tighter than expected due to Heidenheim's motivation.
Predicted Score: 1-2 (Werder Bremen win)