Match Analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 17, 2025
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Signal Iduna Park
Game Overview
Borussia Dortmund, currently 5th in the Bundesliga, hosts Holstein Kiel, who are struggling in 17th place. Dortmund has shown strong performance this season, while Kiel faces challenges in staying clear of relegation.
Key Factors to Consider
- Borussia Dortmund has accumulated 54 points, showcasing consistency with 25 wins in 49 matches. Holstein Kiel has secured 25 points and suffered 20 losses in 33 matches.
- Borussia Dortmund has been dominant, winning 2 out of their last 3 matches against Holstein Kiel. They average 3.5 goals per game in head-to-heads, while Kiel averages 1.33 goals.
- No specific injury information available.
- Borussia Dortmund's home advantage is significant, with a strong crowd supporting them.
- Borussia Dortmund is motivated to extend their positive run, while Holstein Kiel seeks to cause an upset and improve their league position.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -1200 (Borussia Dortmund), 1900 (Holstein Kiel), 1200 (Draw) | Borussia Dortmund Win | ★★★★★ 90% |
Spread | -3 -108 (Borussia Dortmund), 3 -112 (Holstein Kiel) | Borussia Dortmund covers the spread | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Over/under | Over 4.5 -110, Under 4.5 -110 | Over 4.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Borussia Dortmund -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 4.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 4.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Borussia Dortmund is expected to win convincingly given their recent form and head-to-head performance.
Predicted Score: 4-1 in favor of Borussia Dortmund