Match Analysis: SC Freiburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-17
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany
Game Overview
The Bundesliga match between SC Freiburg (4th place) and Eintracht Frankfurt (3rd place) is a critical fixture with both teams vying for a Champions League spot. Freiburg seeks revenge after a 4-1 loss in the reverse fixture and aims to close the 2-point gap to Frankfurt. Freiburg has strong home form with 10 wins in their last 17 home matches, while Frankfurt has been resilient with many draws recently. Historically, their past six meetings have resulted in three draws, showing a balanced rivalry.
Key Factors to Consider
- Freiburg is unbeaten in 12 of their last 14 Bundesliga games, showcasing solidity and strong home advantage. Eintracht Frankfurt has drawn 50% of their last six matches, indicating a cautious but competitive approach.
- In their previous six encounters, Freiburg and Eintracht Frankfurt have drawn three times, reflecting a competitive and tight record. The last meeting ended 4-1 in favor of Frankfurt, but Freiburg is motivated for revenge.
- No significant injury information available in the current data; both teams expected to field close to their best squads.
- The match takes place at Freiburg's Europa-Park-Stadion, giving Freiburg home advantage, which historically boosts their performance. No noted weather or other external disturbances reported.
- Freiburg is highly motivated to secure a Champions League qualification spot by closing the points gap. Frankfurt aims to maintain their position and secure crucial points for the same goal.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Eintracht Frankfurt: 180, SC Freiburg: 135, Draw: 280 | Draw | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Eintracht Frankfurt: -0.25 -125, SC Freiburg: +25 105 | SC Freiburg +0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over 3: -115, Under 3: -105 | Under 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | SC Freiburg 67% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: SC Freiburg at 67% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The match is predicted to end in a draw given the close league positions, historical balanced results, and recent form. Both sides are strong defensively and evenly matched, making a draw likely.
Predicted Score: 1-1