Match Analysis: Oregon St Beavers vs Long Beach State Dirtbags – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-16
- Time: 12:35 AM UTC
- Location: Goss Stadium at Coleman Field, Corvallis, Oregon
Game Overview
The Oregon State Beavers, ranked #7 nationally with a strong 38-12-1 record, host the Long Beach State Dirtbags, who have a 22-28 record, to close the regular NCAA baseball season. The Beavers have been dominant at home and are heavily favored. Long Beach State aims to finish their season strongly despite a less impressive win-loss record. The Beavers have a potent offense and solid pitching staff, whereas Long Beach State relies on key relievers like Tyler Gebb to stay competitive.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oregon State has been exceptional this season with a strong winning record, showing dominance both offensively and defensively. Long Beach State has struggled with a losing record (22-28) but has had competitive moments against strong opponents. The Beavers’ pitching and hitting consistency give them a significant edge.
- The upcoming series marks the final regular season games between these teams. Oregon State, ranked #7, has a clear upper hand historically and based on current season performance. Long Beach State has shown resilience but has been unable to consistently challenge top-ranked teams like Oregon State.
- No significant injuries reported for either team prior to this matchup, allowing both teams to field close to their strongest lineups.
- Home advantage strongly favors Oregon State playing at Goss Stadium. Weather conditions typically mild in Corvallis in mid-May, unlikely to impact gameplay significantly.
- Oregon State is motivated to maintain their high national ranking and momentum heading into postseason play. Long Beach State seeks to end their season on a positive note and prove competitive despite their overall record.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Long Beach State Dirtbags: +500, Oregon State Beavers: -810 | Oregon State Beavers to win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Spread | Oregon State Beavers: -1.5 | Oregon State to cover the spread | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Over/under | total_runs: 8.5 | Under 8.5 runs | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Oregon St Beavers 386% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Oregon St Beavers at 386% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 77.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oregon State is strongly favored to win, leveraging superior overall season performance, home field advantage, and balanced pitching and hitting. Expect a controlled game with Oregon State setting the pace and securing a solid victory.
Predicted Score: Oregon State Beavers 6 – Long Beach State Dirtbags 2