Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-14
- Time: 10:16 PM UTC
- Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Game Overview
The St. Louis Cardinals are set to face the Philadelphia Phillies in a highly anticipated matchup. The Cardinals are second in the NL Central, while the Phillies are second in the NL East. The pitching matchup features Sonny Gray for the Cardinals against Aaron Nola for the Phillies.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Cardinals have a strong offense, with a .259 batting average and 40 home runs. The Phillies have struggled with consistency but have a solid lineup.
- The Cardinals recently secured a win against the Phillies, demonstrating their ability to prevail in close matchups.
- No significant injury updates are available for either team.
- The weather in Philadelphia is expected to be mild with a temperature around 67°F and an 11 mph wind.
- Both teams are motivated to solidify their positions in their respective divisions.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies: -134, St. Louis Cardinals: 114 | Philadelphia Phillies | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 150, St. Louis Cardinals: 1.5 -182 | St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over: 8 -110, Under: 8 -110 | Over 8 | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8 -3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Philadelphia Phillies at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the recent performance of both teams, the Cardinals are likely to provide a strong challenge. However, the Phillies' home advantage and Aaron Nola's potential to improve his performance could sway the outcome.
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 5, St. Louis Cardinals 4