Match Analysis: Club Atletico Talleres vs Alianza Lima – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 15, 2025
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba, ARG
Game Overview
This CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group D match features Club Atletico Talleres hosting Alianza Lima. The home team, Talleres, is favored against Alianza Lima, reflecting their stronger position in the group and home advantage. The most recent encounter between these teams on April 23, 2025, ended with Alianza Lima winning 3-2.
Key Factors to Consider
- Talleres has struggled with conceding goals, having allowed 11 in their recent matches, while maintaining a modest scoring record. Alianza Lima has shown resilience, especially at home, but faces a tough test away from home.
- The recent head-to-head on April 23, 2025, saw Alianza Lima secure a 3-2 victory over Talleres.
- No specific injury reports are available for this match.
- The match is a crucial Group D fixture, with both teams seeking to secure points. The home advantage could be significant for Talleres.
- Both teams are highly motivated, as securing points is crucial for advancing in the tournament.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Alianza Lima: 440, Talleres: -155, Draw: 255 | Talleres to win | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Alianza Lima: 75 -108, Talleres: -0.75 -122 | Talleres to cover the spread | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over: 2.25 -112, Under: 2.25 -118 | Over 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Club Atletico Talleres 197% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.25 0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Club Atletico Talleres at 197% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 44.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on recent form and home advantage, Talleres is likely to win, but the match could be competitive given Alianza Lima's recent victory in the head-to-head encounter.
Predicted Score: Talleres 2, Alianza Lima 1