Match Analysis: Parma vs Napoli – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-18
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Game Overview
Parma faces Napoli in Serie A on May 18, 2025. Napoli is in good form, having won 10 away games, while Parma has shown mixed performance. Historically, Napoli has a strong edge in their head-to-head matches.
Key Factors to Consider
- Napoli is performing well in Serie A, with 10 away wins, while Parma has been inconsistent, winning five home games.
- Parma won 8 times in their past 25 meetings with Napoli, while Napoli won 15 times. Napoli tends to score more goals on average.
- No specific injury information is available for this match.
- No significant external factors are noted for this match.
- Napoli's motivation is high due to their strong form and aspirations for a top finish in Serie A.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Napoli: -195, Parma: 500, Draw: 330 | Napoli win | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Napoli: -1 -115, Parma: 1 -105 | Napoli -1 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110 | Over 2.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Napoli 13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Napoli at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Napoli's strong form and historical advantage, they are likely to win.
Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Napoli