Match Analysis: PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles Almelo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-14
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven, Netherlands
Game Overview
PSV Eindhoven, currently second in the Eredivisie, host Heracles Almelo, who are twelfth. PSV have been strong, winning five of their last six league games and averaging 3.00 goals per game in that span. Heracles have improved slightly but struggle defensively, conceding 57 goals in the league.
Key Factors to Consider
- PSV Eindhoven is performing well, scoring freely and consistently winning, while Heracles Almelo has shown improvement but remains vulnerable defensively.
- PSV have dominated Heracles historically, winning 33 of their 41 meetings.
- No significant injury news provided.
- Philips Stadion is a challenging venue for visiting teams, with PSV often benefiting from home support.
- Both teams are motivated, with PSV seeking to secure their position and Heracles aiming to avoid a heavy defeat.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | PSV Eindhoven -1667, Heracles Almelo 2000, Draw 1000 | PSV Eindhoven win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Spread | PSV Eindhoven -2.75 (-120), Heracles Almelo +2.75 (100) | PSV Eindhoven covers the spread | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Over/under | Over 4 -112, Under 4 -108 | Over 4 goals | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | PSV Eindhoven -26% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 4 14% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 4 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
PSV Eindhoven is expected to win due to their strong form and historical dominance over Heracles Almelo.
Predicted Score: PSV Eindhoven 4, Heracles Almelo 1