Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Leganés - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 14 May 2025
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal, Spain
Game Overview
Villarreal, currently ranked 5th in La Liga, is set to face Leganés, who are struggling at 19th place. Villarreal has shown strong recent form, while Leganés faces significant challenges in staying up. The match is expected to favor Villarreal heavily given their home advantage and recent performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Villarreal is performing well, having recently beaten Espanyol and Osasuna, while Leganés has struggled against top teams like Real Madrid.
- Recent head-to-head data is not extensively available, but considering Villarreal's consistent performance and Leganés' struggles, Villarreal is likely to dominate.
- No significant injury news is available for either team that would impact the match outcome.
- The match is at Villarreal's home stadium, which generally provides them with an advantage.
- Villarreal is highly motivated to secure a strong finish in the league, while Leganés is fighting to avoid relegation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Villarreal -305, Leganés 750, Draw 460 | Villarreal | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Spread | Villarreal -1.5 -110, Leganés 1.5 -110 | Villarreal to cover -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 3 -105, Under 3 -115 | Over 3 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Villarreal -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Villarreal is expected to win this match given their recent form and home advantage.
Predicted Score: 3-1 Villarreal
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