Match Analysis: New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-11
- Time: 3:35 PM UTC
- Location: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens, NY
Game Overview
The New York Mets, leading the NL East, host the Chicago Cubs, who are leading the NL Central. The matchup features Gr Griffin Canning for the Mets and Matthew Boyd for the Cubs. The Cubs have shown strong offense, averaging 5.8 runs per game, while the Mets have a strong home advantage and pitching, which could be critical in this game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams are performing well, with the Mets having a strong home record and the Cubs showing consistency on the road. The Mets' Griffin Canning has a 5-1 record with a 2.50 ERA, while the Cubs' Matthew Boyd has a 3-2 record with a 2.75 ERA.
- Recent head-to-head statistics are not detailed, but the Mets' home advantage and strong pitching could give them an edge.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team that could impact this game.
- The weather is not specified, but Citi Field's conditions could be favorable for the Mets' style of play.
- Both teams are highly motivated, with the Mets aiming to maintain their lead in the NL East and the Cubs seeking to continue their success in the NL Central.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cubs: 113, Mets: -125 | Mets win | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Cubs: 1.5 -195, Mets: -1.5 170 | Mets cover | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over: 8.5 102, Under: 8.5 -122 | Under | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Mets 21% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Mets at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Mets are favored to win due to their strong home record and effective pitching. However, the Cubs have shown resilience on the road.
Predicted Score: Mets: 4, Cubs: 3