Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 14, 2025
- Time: 10:16 PM UTC
- Location: Citizens Bank Park
Game Overview
The Philadelphia Phillies host the St. Louis Cardinals in a matchup featuring two strong NL teams. The Phillies are currently second in the NL East, while the Cardinals are second in the NL Central. The probable starting pitchers are Aaron Nola for the Phillies and possibly Sonny Gray for the Cardinals, although the latter is not confirmed in all sources. The weather conditions are expected to be mild with a temperature around 67Β°F.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams have shown strong performances, with the Phillies having a slight edge in the standings. The Cardinals have a solid batting average and ERA, while the Phillies have struggled with Aaron Nola's performance.
- The head-to-head record between these teams can be a deciding factor, but recent games show mixed results. The Phillies have home advantage, which might give them an edge.
- There are no significant injury reports for key players on either team as of the latest updates.
- Weather conditions are not expected to significantly impact the game.
- Both teams are motivated to win, given their positions in the standings. The Phillies might have more pressure to perform well at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies: -134, St. Louis Cardinals: 114 | Philadelphia Phillies | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 (+150), St. Louis Cardinals: +1.5 (-182) | St. Louis Cardinals | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 8: -110, Under 8: -110 | Over 8 | β β β ββ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 8 -3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Philadelphia Phillies are favored to win due to their home advantage and slightly better position in the standings.
Predicted Score: Phillies 5, Cardinals 3