Match Analysis: Venezia vs Fiorentina - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-12
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice, Italy
Game Overview
The upcoming match between Venezia and Fiorentina in Serie A presents an intriguing contest. Venezia, currently in 18th place, faces significant challenges against Fiorentina, who are in 9th place. The home team's performance has been inconsistent, while Fiorentina's recent form has been mixed.
Key Factors to Consider
- Venezia has struggled with consistency, earning only 25 points from 35 games, while Fiorentina has shown more stability with 48 points from the same number of games. Venezia has a goal difference of -21, while Fiorentina's is +14.
- In the last five meetings at Venezia's home, they have won four times, and there have been no draws, with Fiorentina winning once.
- No specific injury information is available for this match.
- The match is set to take place in Venice, which could give Venezia an edge due to home advantage.
- Venezia will be highly motivated to secure points to avoid relegation, while Fiorentina aims to finish the season strongly.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Fiorentina: 140, Venezia: 205, Draw: 225 | Fiorentina Win | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Fiorentina: -0.25 105, Venezia: 25 -125 | Fiorentina to cover | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over/under | Over: 2.25 -105, Under: 2.25 -115 | Under 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Fiorentina 32% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 -3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Fiorentina at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fiorentina has a slight edge due to their overall performance and recent form, but Venezia's motivation and home advantage could make this a close contest.
Predicted Score: Fiorentina 1, Venezia 0
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