Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-10
- Time: 8:10 PM UTC
- Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field
Game Overview
The Tampa Bay Rays will host the Milwaukee Brewers in an MLB matchup at George M. Steinbrenner Field. The Brewers currently hold a slight edge in historical head-to-head performance with a 12-10 record against the Rays, including a recent two-game winning streak and a decisive 7-1 victory on May 1, 2024. Despite the Rays playing at home, the Brewers' recent form and dominance in scoring pose a significant challenge.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Milwaukee Brewers have a winning percentage of 54.5% against the Rays historically, showing consistent competitive performance. The Rays have a slightly lower winning rate at 45.5%. The Brewers are currently on a two-game winning streak against the Rays and have demonstrated solid offensive capabilities, highlighted by their recent high-scoring win.
- Across 22 games, the Brewers lead 12-10 against the Rays, with the longest winning streak at four consecutive games in 2022. The Rays' longest streak against the Brewers is three games from 2011 to 2014. Recent matches favor the Brewers, including the last encounter with a 7-1 home win.
- No specific injury information is available for either team for this game, suggesting both teams are likely to field strong lineups.
- Playing at George M. Steinbrenner Field gives the Rays home advantage. Weather and other external conditions for the game day are not reported but typically can influence pitching and hitting conditions.
- Both teams are motivated to improve their standings mid-season. The Brewers' recent victories over the Rays add psychological momentum, while the Rays aim to leverage their home field to reverse the trend.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers: 114, Tampa Bay Rays: -134 | Tampa Bay Rays | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Milwaukee Brewers +1.5: -184, Tampa Bay Rays -1.5: 152 | Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over 9.5: 100, Under 9.5: -122 | Under 9.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays 5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 9.5 0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Considering recent form, head-to-head dominance, and odds, the Milwaukee Brewers are favored to win this match, albeit a close contest is expected given the Rays' home advantage.
Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Rays 5 – 3 Milwaukee Brewers