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Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Moreirense FC vs Estoril – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 11 May 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos, Portugal

Game Overview

Moreirense FC is hosting Estoril in the Primeira Liga on May 11, 2025. This match will take place at Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. Both teams are positioned mid-table, with Moreirense currently 11th and Estoril 9th.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Moreirense has shown inconsistent form in recent matches, while Estoril has secured important victories but also faced challenging defeats.
  • The head-to-head statistics show a mixed record between the teams, with no clear dominance in recent years.
  • No significant injury reports are available for this match.
  • Weather and crowd support might play a role, but specific data is not available at this time.
  • Both teams will be motivated to secure points to improve their standings in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Moreirense FC: 140, Estoril: 195, Draw: 215 Moreirense FC Win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Moreirense FC -0.25 +108, Estoril +25 -128 Moreirense FC to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 2.25: -120, Under 2.25: 100 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Moreirense FC -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on form and odds, Moreirense FC might have a slight edge due to home advantage, but Estoril's recent performances suggest they can compete closely.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Moreirense FC


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Boavista Porto vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Boavista Porto vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Boavista Porto Home Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming Portugal Primeira Liga match features Boavista Porto hosting FC Porto. FC Porto has been historically dominant in this fixture, having won the majority of their past encounters decisively. Boavista has struggled in recent games, losing their last 5 matches, while FC Porto has had mixed recent results with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5. The match is expected to be competitive but with FC Porto as clear favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Boavista Porto has lost their last 5 matches, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per match, showing vulnerability in defense and inconsistency in attack. FC Porto has won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 1.6, indicating a strong but not impervious side. FC Porto also shows a better away record in the league with a decent goal-scoring rate.
  • Historically, FC Porto dominates the head-to-head with 25 wins from 33 matches since 2003, while Boavista has only 3 wins and 5 draws. The teams average around 2.7 goals per game when meeting, with FC Porto scoring heavily. Boavista has not beaten FC Porto in the past 28 meetings, underscoring a strong historical advantage for FC Porto.
  • No specific injury information is available in the data provided, suggesting no major absences reported close to the match date.
  • The match is played at Boavista's home venue, which can provide some advantage, but FC Porto’s historic dominance and form mitigate this. No other external factors like weather or travel fatigue are noted.
  • FC Porto, likely aiming for position consolidation or championship points, has high motivation given their historically superior record and competitive form. Boavista, struggling with a losing streak, are motivated to improve their standings and break their poor run but face a tough task.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boavista Porto: 625, FC Porto: -250, Draw: 360 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Boavista Porto: 1.25 -110, FC Porto: -1.25 -110 FC Porto -1.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 2.75 -105, Under: 2.75 -115 Over 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto wins with a moderate margin, considering their dominant head-to-head record and better recent form despite Boavista’s home advantage.

Predicted Score: Boavista Porto 1 – 3 FC Porto


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Vitória SC vs. SC Farense Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs SC Farense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Game Overview

Vitória SC is facing SC Farense in the Portugal Primeira Liga. Vitória SC is currently in a stronger position, both in terms of standings and recent form, having won more home games and being undefeated against Farense in their last six meetings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória SC is in good form, having won several home games, while Farense is struggling with a long losing streak and poor away record.
  • Vitória SC has not lost to Farense in their past six meetings, winning two and drawing four.
  • Not specified
  • Not specified
  • Vitória SC is motivated to secure their position in the league, while Farense is fighting to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vitória SC: -170, SC Farense: 460, Draw: 280 Vitória SC ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread SC Farense: 1 -122, Vitória SC: -1 102 Vitória SC to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -102, Under 2.5: -118 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Vitória SC is expected to win this match given their strong form and H2H record against Farense.

Predicted Score: 2-0 in favor of Vitória SC


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CF Estrela vs. AVS Futebol SAD Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs AVS Futebol SAD – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora, Portugal

Game Overview

The upcoming Primeira Liga match between CF Estrela Amadora and AVS Futebol SAD is a critical fixture near the season's end, with both teams fighting to improve their league standings. CF Estrela Amadora, currently 15th, has a slightly better recent form compared to 17th placed AVS Futebol SAD, who have struggled defensively. The match is expected to be tightly contested given both sides' moderate goal-scoring records and defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • CF Estrela Amadora has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 goals scored and conceding 1.4 goals per match. AVS Futebol SAD has 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5, scoring 0.4 goals per match but conceding a higher 2.8 goals per match, indicating defensive fragility. Both teams have low scoring rates, with AVS conceding more goals on average than Estrela.
  • The recent direct encounters show a balanced record with one match in 2024 ending in a draw. The last 5 meetings show AVS leading slightly with 3 wins to Estrela's 2, but total goals and Asian handicap statistics indicate low-scoring and competitive matches with limited goal margins.
  • No specific injury data is available at the moment; however, typical late-season fatigue and minor injuries could impact squad selections.
  • Playing at Estadio Jose Gomes gives CF Estrela Amadora home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are assumed normal without reported adverse factors. Both teams face pressure to secure points to avoid relegation battles, motivating intense play.
  • Both teams are near the bottom of the table and motivated to secure points to improve their standing and avoid relegation threats. This motivation likely leads to a cautious match with focus on defensive solidity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AVS Futebol SAD: 2.9, CF Estrela: 1.95, Draw: 2.3 CF Estrela win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread AVS Futebol SAD +50: -120, CF Estrela -0.5: 100 CF Estrela -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -112 Under 2.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CF Estrela -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Estrela Amadora's slight home advantage, better defensive record, and motivated stance, the prediction is a narrow home win with low-scoring gameplay expected.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Casa Pia vs. Braga Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Braga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Pina Manique, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

This Liga Portugal match features 9th-placed Casa Pia AC (42 points, 3 wins in last 6 home league games) hosting 3rd-placed Sporting Braga (65 points, 8 matches unbeaten in the league). Casa Pia has struggled for wins, recording only 1 win in their last 9 Liga Portugal matches. Braga has been dominant, winning 30 of their last 52 matches across all competitions. The head-to-head history favors Braga, who have won 4 of their last 6 encounters with Casa Pia. The match is expected to be a stern test for Casa Pia, with Braga as strong favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia: 1 win in last 9 league matches, 3 wins in last 6 home league matches. Braga: 8 matches unbeaten, 30 wins in last 52 matches.
  • Braga has won 4 of the last 6 meetings with Casa Pia.
  • No specific injury news available.
  • No notable external disruptions reported.
  • Braga is fighting for a European spot and is in strong form. Casa Pia is mid-table, with limited motivation beyond securing their league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braga: -165, Casa Pia: 460, Draw: 270 Braga to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Braga: -1 105, Casa Pia: 1 -125 Braga -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.5 100, Under: 2.5 -120 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Braga at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Braga is expected to win, with a predicted scoreline of 0-2. Casa Pia's recent form is poor, and Braga's dominance in recent encounters and league performance make them clear favorites.

Predicted Score: 0-2


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Gil Vicente vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos, Portugal

Game Overview

The Portuguese Primeira Liga fixture between Gil Vicente and Arouca is a critical mid-table clash. Gil Vicente is currently 14th in the standings with 23 points, narrowly ahead of 11th placed Arouca. Both teams have displayed inconsistencies recently, with Gil Vicente showing some resilience in their last six matches and Arouca struggling for form, especially on the road. Despite the narrow points gap, the historical dominance by Arouca in head-to-head matches adds intrigue to this encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gil Vicente has won 3 of their last 6 games, including recent home and away wins, proving some momentum. Arouca, by contrast, has only 1 win in their last 6 matches and has struggled to score consistently in recent fixtures, averaging under a goal per game across their last six.
  • Historically, Arouca is unbeaten in all 17 meetings against Gil Vicente, with 10 wins and 7 draws. This stark dominance contrasts with their current league form, offering a psychological edge for Arouca.
  • No specific injury updates are available in the provided data, suggesting both teams likely have their core squads available for selection.
  • The match is played at Gil Vicente's home ground, Estadio Cidade de Barcelos, potentially providing a home advantage. There are no indications of adverse weather or other external disruptions noted.
  • With only a small points gap separating them, both teams are motivated to secure points to climb the league table and avoid relegation threats. Gil Vicente likely aims to consolidate their recent positive results, while Arouca seeks to end their poor run and leverage their head-to-head superiority.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gil Vicente: 135, Arouca: 200, Draw: 215 Gil Vicente to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Gil Vicente -0.25: 102, Arouca +25: -122 Gil Vicente -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -112, Under 2.25: -108 Under 2.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gil Vicente 29%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gil Vicente at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Gil Vicente’s recent improved form and home advantage, combined with Arouca's poor recent scoring but historical head-to-head dominance, a cautious low-scoring draw or a narrow Gil Vicente win is most probable.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Benfica vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz

Game Overview

Benfica and Sporting Lisbon are set to face off in a crucial Primeira Liga match. Both teams are well-known for their rivalry and consistently competitive performances. Benfica is currently strong, having won more head-to-heads historically and maintaining a consistent form this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica has shown strong performance in the league, maintaining a high position. Sporting CP is also in good form but trails slightly behind Benfica overall.
  • Historically, Benfica has a slight edge over Sporting CP with 28 wins to 20. However, recent matches have seen both teams draw frequently.
  • No significant injury updates were found for either team.
  • The match could be influenced by home advantage and crowd support for Benfica, but Sporting CP has been strong on away fixtures.
  • Both teams are highly motivated given the competitive nature of the league and their historical rivalry.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica 115, Sporting Lisbon 225, Draw 230 Benfica to win or draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Benfica -0.25 -112, Sporting Lisbon 25 -108 Benfica to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.75 -112, Under 2.75 -108 Over 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica is likely to win or draw given their historical advantage and home support. However, Sporting CP’s recent form could lead to a competitive match.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Benfica


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Santa Clara vs. Famalicão Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs Famalicão – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Portugal

Game Overview

Santa Clara and Famalicão meet in a Portuguese Primeira Liga match. Santa Clara is currently 5th in the league with 46 points, while Famalicão is 9th with 40 points. Santa Clara has shown more consistent performance, but Famalicão has the potential to upset with their decent away form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santa Clara has been performing well, especially at home, with a recent win against Arouca and a draw against Sporting Braga. However, they lost to Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria S.C. Famalicão has had mixed results, struggling against stronger teams.
  • The head-to-head between the two teams does not show a clear dominance, with both teams having similar past performances.
  • No specific injury reports are available, but both teams are expected to field their strongest lineups.
  • The match is being played at Santa Clara's home stadium, which might give them an advantage.
  • Santa Clara is motivated to secure a higher position in the league, while Famalicão aims to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santa Clara: 120, Famalicão: 250, Draw: 195 Santa Clara ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Santa Clara: -0.25 -112, Famalicão: 25 -108 Santa Clara ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2 -108, Under: 2 -112 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santa Clara 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Santa Clara at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santa Clara is likely to win due to their home advantage and recent form.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Santa Clara


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Nacional vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

The upcoming Primeira Liga match between Nacional and Rio Ave FC features two mid-table teams with Rio Ave in 10th place (36 points) and Nacional in 13th (33 points). Rio Ave are coming off a solid 2-0 home victory against Estrela, while Nacional have struggled recently with only one win in their last five matches. This game is crucial for both as they aim to improve their mid to lower table standing and avoid relegation troubles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nacional have shown inconsistent form, losing three out of their last five league games, including a 1-2 loss at home to Vitoria Guimaraes. Rio Ave have been slightly better, winning their last game 2-0 and generally having a more stable points accumulation across the season.
  • Historically and in recent encounters this season, Rio Ave have a slight edge with one win and one draw in their matches against Nacional. The matchup has been fairly balanced, but Rio Ave's recent form suggests they may be the stronger side.
  • No explicit injury updates were found for either team, indicating likely availability of key players for both sides.
  • The match is played at Estadio da Madeira, giving Nacional home advantage, though their recent home form has not been convincing. Weather and other external conditions are standard with no reported issues.
  • With only a few matches remaining in the Primeira Liga season, both teams are motivated to secure points to improve their league positions. Rio Ave, currently higher on the table, will aim to consolidate their spot, whereas Nacional will push hard to close the gap and avoid slipping further.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nacional: 100, Rio_Ave_FC: 270, Draw: 235 Nacional win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Nacional_-0.5: 102, Rio_Ave_FC_+50: -122 Nacional to cover -0.5 spread ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over_2.5: -110, Under_2.5: -110 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nacional 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the data, Rio Ave FC is favored to win or draw, with Nacional under pressure due to poorer form and home struggles. Expect a closely contested match with Rio Ave having a slight advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Boavista Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Boavista Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 5 May 2025
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, Portugal

Game Overview

Bottom-table clash between AVS Futebol SAD and Boavista Porto, with both teams coming off heavy defeats (AVS lost 6-0 to Benfica, Boavista lost 5-0 to Sporting CP) and winless streaks. This match is critical for survival, as a Boavista win could move them into the play-off zone.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AVS has failed to win in 7 consecutive matches, conceding 3+ goals in 4 of their last 5 games. Boavista has struggled offensively, failing to register a shot on target in their last game[5].
  • Single previous meeting ended in a 0-0 draw (December 2024). Historical data shows evenly matched possession (56%-44% AVS) but low offensive output[4][5].
  • No specific injury data available from sources.
  • High-pressure relegation battle likely to produce cautious play. Venue historically favors AVS as home team but provides minimal advantage given current form[1][5].
  • Both teams urgently need points to avoid relegation, with Boavista having clearer survival incentives according to preview analysis[5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AVS 110 | Draw 220 | Boavista 250 Draw (most probable) > Boavista > AVS Draw 45% | Boavista 35% | AVS 20%
Spread AVS -0.25 (-120) | Boavista +25 (100) Boavista +0.25 (covers spread) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-110) | Under 2.25 (-110) Under 2.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 58%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 58% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tactically cautious match with under 2.25 goals as primary outcome. Boavista holds marginally better defensive resilience despite recent results.

Predicted Score: 0-0 or 1-1 draw


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