Match Analysis: Memphis Tigers vs Tulane Green Wave – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-09
- Time: 11:05 PM UTC
- Location: FedExPark Avron Fogelman Field, Memphis, TN
Game Overview
The Memphis Tigers host the Tulane Green Wave in the opening game of a critical three-game American Athletic Conference series at FedExPark. Memphis is looking to continue its recent momentum after a series sweep of UAB and a strong win against Mississippi Valley State, while Tulane enters with a historically better all-time record but has lost three of the last four series against Memphis. Tulane currently leads the all-time series 73-49, but Memphis has shown recent dominance, including a series win in New Orleans last season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Memphis comes off a strong run, sweeping UAB in AAC play and winning convincingly against Mississippi Valley State, powered by standout pitching performances like that of RHP Seth Garner, who earned AAC Weekly Honor Roll for his recent outing. Tulane has a solid overall record and traditionally performs well, but recent series losses to Memphis could impact confidence.
- Tulane leads the all-time series 73-49, but Memphis has won three of the last four series matchups, including taking two of three games in New Orleans last season, indicating a recent shift in competitive balance favoring Memphis.
- No significant injury reports available for either team at this time, suggesting both squads should be near full strength.
- The game is at Memphis' home stadium, FedExPark, providing the Tigers with home-field advantage. Weather and other external variables are not noted to be significant in this matchup.
- Memphis is highly motivated to defend home turf and build on recent winning momentum, while Tulane aims to leverage its historical advantage and avoid falling behind early in the series.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Memphis Tigers: -105, Tulane Green Wave: -125 | Tulane Green Wave | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | Memphis Tigers: +1.5, Tulane Green Wave: -1.5 | Tulane Green Wave -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Over/under | over: O 8.5 runs, under: U 8.5 runs | Under 8.5 runs | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Tulane Green Wave -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Tulane Green Wave at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Memphis' recent strong form, pitching edge, and home advantage, they are favored to win the game, although the odds are close and Tulane remains a tough opponent capable of an upset.
Predicted Score: Tulane Green Wave 5 – 3 Memphis Tigers