Match Analysis: Hellas Verona vs Lecce – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-11
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona, Italy
Game Overview
Hellas Verona, ranked 15th in Serie A with 32 points, will face Lecce, ranked 17th with 27 points, in a crucial match at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi. Verona has struggled at home, losing three of their last six matches, while Lecce has struggled on the road, losing 11 of 17 away matches.
Key Factors to Consider
- Verona's recent home record is worrisome, but they have a historical edge over Lecce. Lecce, however, needs points to improve their league standing.
- Verona has a 55% win rate against Lecce in Serie A encounters.
- No specific injury information is available, but both teams' past performances suggest a closely contested match.
- The match's significance in the league standings will be a major motivator for both teams.
- Both teams are highly motivated to secure points, but Verona's historical dominance and Lecce's away struggles could influence the outcome.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hellas Verona: 115, Lecce: 270, Draw: 215 | Draw | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Hellas Verona: -0.25 -118, Lecce: 25 -102 | Lecce +0.25 | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.25 -105, Under: 2.25 -115 | Under 2.25 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Draw 42% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 42% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The match is likely to be a draw, given the historical head-to-head statistics and the current form of both teams.
Predicted Score: 1-1