Match Analysis: Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-11
- Time: 12:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam, Netherlands
Game Overview
The Eredivisie clash between Feyenoord and PSV Eindhoven at Stadion Feijenoord is a key fixture as PSV currently leads the league with 70 points, five points clear of 3rd placed Feyenoord who have 65 points. Feyenoord shows strong home form with a 67% win rate over their last six home games, while PSV has taken three wins in their last six away matches. The rivalry, known as 'De Kraker,' promises an intense, competitive game given both teams' motivation to secure valuable points at this crucial stage of the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Feyenoord remains unbeaten in their last 11 Eredivisie matches and 47 of their last 51 league games, indicating strong consistency. PSV Eindhoven leads the league and has shown solid away performance but has faced some setbacks against Feyenoord historically, losing 3 of their last 6 encounters. Both teams have prolific scorers: Feyenoord's I. Paixao with 14 goals and 9 assists and PSV's L. De Jong with 13 goals and 6 assists.
- In the last six meetings between the two sides, PSV has won three times, Feyenoord once, and the remaining matches were draws. This indicates a slight edge for PSV historically but also a competitive balance.
- No specific injury information is available for key players in this fixture, suggesting both teams may field near full strength squads.
- The match is held at Feyenoord’s home ground, Stadion Feijenoord (De Kuip), which favors Feyenoord given their strong home record. Weather and pitch conditions are not noted as impacting factors.
- PSV leads the league and aims to maintain their advantage over Feyenoord, who will be desperate to close the gap and avoid being swept by PSV this season. The high stakes increase motivation levels on both sides.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Feyenoord: 160, PSV Eindhoven: 140, Draw: 265 | PSV Eindhoven win | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Spread | Feyenoord: 0 100, PSV Eindhoven: 0 -120 | PSV Eindhoven on spread (0) | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over 3.25: -115, Under 3.25: -105 | Over 3.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | PSV Eindhoven 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.25 14% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
PSV Eindhoven is favored to win in a close, high-scoring contest, though Feyenoord’s strong home form and unbeaten run suggest a narrow margin. Expect a competitive match with goals from both sides.
Predicted Score: 2-3