Match Analysis: FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-11
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: FC Dallas Home Stadium
Game Overview
The upcoming MLS match between FC Dallas and Real Salt Lake promises a competitive encounter. FC Dallas holds a historical edge in their head-to-head clashes, winning nearly half of their past 53 meetings. Real Salt Lake, however, has shown resilience away from home with a tendency toward high-scoring matches. Both teams have demonstrated a propensity for games with over 2.5 goals, indicating an attacking style of play likely to produce goals.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Dallas has shown stronger form historically and particularly in head-to-head matches, winning 25 of 53 games against Real Salt Lake who have 15 wins and 13 draws. Dallas’s home form and goal-scoring capacity give them an advantage. Real Salt Lake averages about 1.28 goals per away match this season, often involved in matches with 2.5+ goals.
- Out of 53 meetings, FC Dallas won 47.17%, Real Salt Lake 28.30%, with draws at 24.53%. The average goals per match in these encounters is approximately 2.6 to 2.74, with many games going over 2.5 goals.
- No specific injury updates are available from the current data; therefore, both teams are presumed to field their typical starting lineups without major absences.
- Match is played at FC Dallas’s home ground which statistically benefits them. Weather and other conditions are not specified but expected normal for May in Dallas.
- FC Dallas currently sits lower in standings but has a strong motivation to capitalize on home advantage. Real Salt Lake looks to improve away performance and climb the league table, providing strong motivation for an intense contest.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Dallas: -105, Real Salt Lake: 265, Draw: 280 | FC Dallas win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Spread | FC Dallas -0.5: -105, Real Salt Lake +50: -115 | FC Dallas -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 | Over 2.75 goals | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Dallas 13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 21% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on historical dominance, home advantage, and scoring trends, FC Dallas is favored to win a competitive match with over 2.5 goals expected.
Predicted Score: 2-1
