Match Analysis: Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-10
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio da Luz
Game Overview
Benfica and Sporting Lisbon are set to face off in a crucial Primeira Liga match. Both teams are well-known for their rivalry and consistently competitive performances. Benfica is currently strong, having won more head-to-heads historically and maintaining a consistent form this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Benfica has shown strong performance in the league, maintaining a high position. Sporting CP is also in good form but trails slightly behind Benfica overall.
- Historically, Benfica has a slight edge over Sporting CP with 28 wins to 20. However, recent matches have seen both teams draw frequently.
- No significant injury updates were found for either team.
- The match could be influenced by home advantage and crowd support for Benfica, but Sporting CP has been strong on away fixtures.
- Both teams are highly motivated given the competitive nature of the league and their historical rivalry.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Benfica 115, Sporting Lisbon 225, Draw 230 | Benfica to win or draw | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Benfica -0.25 -112, Sporting Lisbon 25 -108 | Benfica to cover the spread | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over 2.75 -112, Under 2.75 -108 | Over 2.75 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Benfica -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Benfica is likely to win or draw given their historical advantage and home support. However, Sporting CP’s recent form could lead to a competitive match.
Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Benfica