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Nacional vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Nacional vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

The upcoming Primeira Liga match between Nacional and Rio Ave FC features two mid-table teams with Rio Ave in 10th place (36 points) and Nacional in 13th (33 points). Rio Ave are coming off a solid 2-0 home victory against Estrela, while Nacional have struggled recently with only one win in their last five matches. This game is crucial for both as they aim to improve their mid to lower table standing and avoid relegation troubles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nacional have shown inconsistent form, losing three out of their last five league games, including a 1-2 loss at home to Vitoria Guimaraes. Rio Ave have been slightly better, winning their last game 2-0 and generally having a more stable points accumulation across the season.
  • Historically and in recent encounters this season, Rio Ave have a slight edge with one win and one draw in their matches against Nacional. The matchup has been fairly balanced, but Rio Ave's recent form suggests they may be the stronger side.
  • No explicit injury updates were found for either team, indicating likely availability of key players for both sides.
  • The match is played at Estadio da Madeira, giving Nacional home advantage, though their recent home form has not been convincing. Weather and other external conditions are standard with no reported issues.
  • With only a few matches remaining in the Primeira Liga season, both teams are motivated to secure points to improve their league positions. Rio Ave, currently higher on the table, will aim to consolidate their spot, whereas Nacional will push hard to close the gap and avoid slipping further.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nacional: 100, Rio_Ave_FC: 270, Draw: 235 Nacional win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Nacional_-0.5: 102, Rio_Ave_FC_+50: -122 Nacional to cover -0.5 spread ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over_2.5: -110, Under_2.5: -110 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nacional 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the data, Rio Ave FC is favored to win or draw, with Nacional under pressure due to poorer form and home struggles. Expect a closely contested match with Rio Ave having a slight advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Nacional vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-10 Time: 2:30 PM UTC Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal Game Overview The upcoming Primeira Liga match between Nacional and Rio Ave FC features two mid-table teams with Rio Ave in 10th place (36 points) and Nacional in 13th (33 points). Rio […]

May 10, 2025 Nacional Rio Ave FC Soccer

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Casa Pia vs. Braga Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Braga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Pina Manique, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

This Liga Portugal match features 9th-placed Casa Pia AC (42 points, 3 wins in last 6 home league games) hosting 3rd-placed Sporting Braga (65 points, 8 matches unbeaten in the league). Casa Pia has struggled for wins, recording only 1 win in their last 9 Liga Portugal matches. Braga has been dominant, winning 30 of their last 52 matches across all competitions. The head-to-head history favors Braga, who have won 4 of their last 6 encounters with Casa Pia. The match is expected to be a stern test for Casa Pia, with Braga as strong favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia: 1 win in last 9 league matches, 3 wins in last 6 home league matches. Braga: 8 matches unbeaten, 30 wins in last 52 matches.
  • Braga has won 4 of the last 6 meetings with Casa Pia.
  • No specific injury news available.
  • No notable external disruptions reported.
  • Braga is fighting for a European spot and is in strong form. Casa Pia is mid-table, with limited motivation beyond securing their league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braga: -165, Casa Pia: 460, Draw: 270 Braga to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Braga: -1 105, Casa Pia: 1 -125 Braga -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.5 100, Under: 2.5 -120 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Braga at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Braga is expected to win, with a predicted scoreline of 0-2. Casa Pia's recent form is poor, and Braga's dominance in recent encounters and league performance make them clear favorites.

Predicted Score: 0-2


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Gil Vicente vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos, Portugal

Game Overview

The Portuguese Primeira Liga fixture between Gil Vicente and Arouca is a critical mid-table clash. Gil Vicente is currently 14th in the standings with 23 points, narrowly ahead of 11th placed Arouca. Both teams have displayed inconsistencies recently, with Gil Vicente showing some resilience in their last six matches and Arouca struggling for form, especially on the road. Despite the narrow points gap, the historical dominance by Arouca in head-to-head matches adds intrigue to this encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gil Vicente has won 3 of their last 6 games, including recent home and away wins, proving some momentum. Arouca, by contrast, has only 1 win in their last 6 matches and has struggled to score consistently in recent fixtures, averaging under a goal per game across their last six.
  • Historically, Arouca is unbeaten in all 17 meetings against Gil Vicente, with 10 wins and 7 draws. This stark dominance contrasts with their current league form, offering a psychological edge for Arouca.
  • No specific injury updates are available in the provided data, suggesting both teams likely have their core squads available for selection.
  • The match is played at Gil Vicente's home ground, Estadio Cidade de Barcelos, potentially providing a home advantage. There are no indications of adverse weather or other external disruptions noted.
  • With only a small points gap separating them, both teams are motivated to secure points to climb the league table and avoid relegation threats. Gil Vicente likely aims to consolidate their recent positive results, while Arouca seeks to end their poor run and leverage their head-to-head superiority.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gil Vicente: 135, Arouca: 200, Draw: 215 Gil Vicente to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Gil Vicente -0.25: 102, Arouca +25: -122 Gil Vicente -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -112, Under 2.25: -108 Under 2.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gil Vicente 29%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gil Vicente at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Gil Vicente’s recent improved form and home advantage, combined with Arouca's poor recent scoring but historical head-to-head dominance, a cautious low-scoring draw or a narrow Gil Vicente win is most probable.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Benfica vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz

Game Overview

Benfica and Sporting Lisbon are set to face off in a crucial Primeira Liga match. Both teams are well-known for their rivalry and consistently competitive performances. Benfica is currently strong, having won more head-to-heads historically and maintaining a consistent form this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica has shown strong performance in the league, maintaining a high position. Sporting CP is also in good form but trails slightly behind Benfica overall.
  • Historically, Benfica has a slight edge over Sporting CP with 28 wins to 20. However, recent matches have seen both teams draw frequently.
  • No significant injury updates were found for either team.
  • The match could be influenced by home advantage and crowd support for Benfica, but Sporting CP has been strong on away fixtures.
  • Both teams are highly motivated given the competitive nature of the league and their historical rivalry.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica 115, Sporting Lisbon 225, Draw 230 Benfica to win or draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Benfica -0.25 -112, Sporting Lisbon 25 -108 Benfica to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.75 -112, Under 2.75 -108 Over 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica is likely to win or draw given their historical advantage and home support. However, Sporting CP’s recent form could lead to a competitive match.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Benfica


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Santa Clara vs. Famalicão Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs Famalicão – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Portugal

Game Overview

Santa Clara and Famalicão meet in a Portuguese Primeira Liga match. Santa Clara is currently 5th in the league with 46 points, while Famalicão is 9th with 40 points. Santa Clara has shown more consistent performance, but Famalicão has the potential to upset with their decent away form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santa Clara has been performing well, especially at home, with a recent win against Arouca and a draw against Sporting Braga. However, they lost to Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria S.C. Famalicão has had mixed results, struggling against stronger teams.
  • The head-to-head between the two teams does not show a clear dominance, with both teams having similar past performances.
  • No specific injury reports are available, but both teams are expected to field their strongest lineups.
  • The match is being played at Santa Clara's home stadium, which might give them an advantage.
  • Santa Clara is motivated to secure a higher position in the league, while Famalicão aims to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santa Clara: 120, Famalicão: 250, Draw: 195 Santa Clara ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Santa Clara: -0.25 -112, Famalicão: 25 -108 Santa Clara ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2 -108, Under: 2 -112 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santa Clara 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Santa Clara at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santa Clara is likely to win due to their home advantage and recent form.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Santa Clara


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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Boavista Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Boavista Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 5 May 2025
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, Portugal

Game Overview

Bottom-table clash between AVS Futebol SAD and Boavista Porto, with both teams coming off heavy defeats (AVS lost 6-0 to Benfica, Boavista lost 5-0 to Sporting CP) and winless streaks. This match is critical for survival, as a Boavista win could move them into the play-off zone.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AVS has failed to win in 7 consecutive matches, conceding 3+ goals in 4 of their last 5 games. Boavista has struggled offensively, failing to register a shot on target in their last game[5].
  • Single previous meeting ended in a 0-0 draw (December 2024). Historical data shows evenly matched possession (56%-44% AVS) but low offensive output[4][5].
  • No specific injury data available from sources.
  • High-pressure relegation battle likely to produce cautious play. Venue historically favors AVS as home team but provides minimal advantage given current form[1][5].
  • Both teams urgently need points to avoid relegation, with Boavista having clearer survival incentives according to preview analysis[5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AVS 110 | Draw 220 | Boavista 250 Draw (most probable) > Boavista > AVS Draw 45% | Boavista 35% | AVS 20%
Spread AVS -0.25 (-120) | Boavista +25 (100) Boavista +0.25 (covers spread) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-110) | Under 2.25 (-110) Under 2.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 58%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 58% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tactically cautious match with under 2.25 goals as primary outcome. Boavista holds marginally better defensive resilience despite recent results.

Predicted Score: 0-0 or 1-1 draw


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Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Rio Ave FC vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-05
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Unspecified (likely Rio Ave FC home ground)

Game Overview

Rio Ave holds a historical edge over Estrela Amadora, winning 4 of their last 9 meetings. Estrela currently struggles with form, while Rio Ave’s home performance shows high goal involvement (over 1.5 goals in 90.48% of home matches).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estrela Amadora in poor Liga Portugal form with only 2 recent away wins. Rio Ave averages 1.19 goals per match this season with strong home over 1.5 goals consistency.
  • Rio Ave won 4 of last 9 H2H matches (last 5 games: 2 Rio Ave wins, 1 Estrela win, 2 draws). Average goals per H2H match: 3.00.
  • No specific injury data available from provided sources.
  • High probability of goals (Rio Ave’s 66.67% over 2.5 goals rate at home suggests attacking emphasis).
  • Rio Ave’s superior league position (11th vs 16th per historical data) indicates potential urgency from Estrela to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 151, draw: 220, away: 172 Rio Ave FC ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread home: 0 (-127), away: 0 (+107) Rio Ave FC (0) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: 2.25 (-130), under: 2.25 (+110) Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rio Ave FC 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rio Ave FC at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rio Ave slight favorites due to H2H advantage and home goal-scoring tendencies, but expect tight contest given Estrela’s desperation.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Rio Ave FC


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Sporting Lisbon vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Alvalade

Game Overview

This match pits one of the strongest teams in the Primeira Liga, Sporting Lisbon, against a mid-table contender, Gil Vicente. Sporting Lisbon is known for its consistent form and strong home performances, while Gil Vicente has shown resilience on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon has been in good form in Liga Portugal, winning 12 home games at Estádio José Alvalade. Gil Vicente has also been performing well, winning three away games.
  • Historically, Sporting Lisbon has dominated this fixture, winning 24 out of 35 matches with Gil Vicente. The average goals scored in these matches are about 2.86 per game.
  • No specific injury reports mentioned.
  • Both teams are likely to be motivated for different reasons: Sporting for maintaining or improving their league position, and Gil Vicente for securing points that could improve their standing.
  • Sporting Lisbon will be highly motivated to secure a win at home to maintain their strong league position, while Gil Vicente may be looking for an upset to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon: -800, Gil Vicente: 1900, Draw: 700 Sporting Lisbon win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Sporting Lisbon: -2.25 -108, Gil Vicente: 2.25 -112 Sporting Lisbon to cover -2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3: -125, Under 3: 105 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon is likely to win given their strong home form and historical dominance over Gil Vicente.

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Arouca vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Arouca vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca, Portugal

Game Overview

FC Arouca, currently 12th in the Primeira Liga, hosts Casa Pia, who is 8th. Both teams are looking to improve their standings with a crucial win. Given Arouca's home advantage and Casa Pia's slightly higher league position, the match promises to be competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca has shown inconsistency, recently losing to Santa Clara but beating Estrela. Casa Pia has been slightly more consistent, maintaining their mid-table position. Recent performances suggest a close contest.
  • In recent matches, head-to-head statistics show a slight edge to Casa Pia, but Arouca's home advantage could level the field.
  • No significant injury reports are available for either team, which should not influence the match outcome significantly.
  • Weather and crowd support could play a role, but as both teams are accustomed to Portuguese conditions, this should not favor either side significantly.
  • Casa Pia is more motivated to secure a higher league position, but Arouca's need to climb away from potential relegation danger provides strong motivation for them as well.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 105, away: 265, draw: 220 Arouca ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home: -0.25, away: 25 Arouca ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: 2.25, under: 2.25 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia could capitalize on their recent form, but Arouca's home advantage makes them a slight favorite in a close match.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Arouca


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Estoril vs. Benfica Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Estoril vs Benfica – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 3 May 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril, Portugal

Game Overview

Estoril Praia faces Benfica in a Primeira Liga match, with Benfica holding a strong position in the league standings. The match is expected to be challenging for Estoril given Benfica's recent performance and team strengths.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica has shown superior form, sitting second in the league, while Estoril ranks ninth. Benfica's offense and defense have been more effective.
  • Historically, Benfica has dominated against Estoril, with notable recent wins.
  • No significant injury reports available, but any missing key players could impact team dynamics.
  • Home advantage might slightly benefit Estoril, but overall, Benfica's strength should prevail.
  • Benfica's motivation to secure top league placement could drive their performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica: -575, Estoril: 1200, Draw: 600 Benfica ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Benfica: -2 -115, Estoril: 2 -105 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3.5: 102, Under 3.5: -122 Over 3.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica is likely to win due to their league position and past performance against Estoril.

Predicted Score: Estoril 1, Benfica 3


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