Match Analysis: Lille vs Paris FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-23
• Time: 7:45 PM UTC
• Location: Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille, France

Game Overview

Lille hosts Paris FC in Matchday 13 of the Ligue 1 season. Lille currently sits 5th in the table with 20 points from 12 matches, while Paris FC is 11th with 14 points. Both teams enter the match off recent defeats, with Lille losing 2-0 to Strasbourg and Paris FC falling 1-0 at home to Rennes. Lille is favored to win, with strong home form and a history of dominance over Paris FC.

Key Factors to Consider

• Lille has shown inconsistency recently, losing three of their last four matches and failing to score in each. However, they have a solid home record and have kept clean sheets in their last three home wins. Paris FC has been erratic defensively, conceding at least one goal in each of their last five matches. Lille has scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches, while Paris FC averages 1.4 shots on target per match.
• Lille has never lost a home game against Paris FC, with their last victory in September 1978 (4-2). Paris FC has managed points in three of their last four meetings, including a 1-1 draw in 1979. Lille’s home dominance is a key factor.
• No major injuries reported for either side. Both teams are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
• The match is played at Lille’s Decathlon Arena, a venue where they have a strong record. Weather conditions are expected to be favorable for football.
• Lille is motivated to bounce back from recent losses and extend their home winning run. Paris FC seeks to improve their away form and climb the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Lille: -172, Paris FC: 415, Draw: 320	Lille	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Lille: -1 105, Paris FC: 1 -125	Lille -1	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over: 2.75 -115, Under: 2.75 -105	Under	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Lille 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.75 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lille is expected to win this match due to their home advantage, superior squad depth, and Paris FC’s defensive vulnerabilities. The most likely outcome is a Lille victory with a clean sheet.

Predicted Score: Lille 2-0 Paris FC

Match Analysis: Brest vs Metz – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-23
• Time: 4:15 PM UTC
• Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé

Game Overview

Brest hosts Metz in a Ligue 1 clash with both teams fighting to avoid the relegation zone. The match is set for Sunday, November 23, 2025, at 16:15 UTC at Stade Francis-Le Blé. Brest currently sits 15th with 10 points, while Metz is just above them in 14th with 11 points. The game is expected to be tight, with both teams showing mixed form and defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brest has struggled for consistency, winning only 2 of their last 12 league games and suffering a heavy 3-0 defeat to Marseille in their last outing. Their home form is poor, with just one win in their last five at Stade Francis-Le Blé. Metz, meanwhile, has shown signs of improvement after a rough start to the season, winning their last two away games and conceding only one goal in their last three matches. However, they have a leaky defense overall, having conceded 27 goals in 12 games.
• Brest has dominated recent meetings, winning the last three encounters against Metz, including a 4-3 victory in April 2024. Historically, Metz has won two of their last three visits to Brest, with their last away win in September 2021. The last five meetings have seen an average of 3.2 goals per game, indicating a tendency for high-scoring affairs.
• No major injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side ahead of this match.
• The match will be officiated by referee Gaël Angoula. Both teams are under pressure to secure points to avoid the relegation battle, which could impact their approach. The weather is expected to be mild with no significant disruptions.
• Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win to move away from the relegation zone. Brest will be looking to end their poor home run, while Metz aims to extend their recent positive form and achieve consecutive away wins for the first time in over two years.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Brest: -125, Metz: 320, Draw: 270	Brest	Not available
Spread	Brest: -0.5 -120, Metz: 50 100	Brest -0.5	Not available
Over/under	Over: 2.5 -122, Under: 2.5 102	Over 2.5	Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Brest -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Brest's recent dominance in head-to-head meetings and their strong home record against Metz, coupled with Metz's improved away form, this match is expected to be closely contested. Brest is favored to edge out a narrow victory, but a draw is also a strong possibility given the tight nature of the fixture and both teams' defensive vulnerabilities.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: Toulouse vs Angers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-23
• Time: 4:15 PM UTC
• Location: Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse, France

Game Overview

Toulouse (10th in Ligue 1) hosts Angers (13th) in a mid-table Ligue 1 clash. Toulouse has been solid at home, unbeaten in their last four home league games against Angers and scoring the bulk of their season's goals at home. Angers arrives with decent recent form, having suffered only one defeat in their last five league matches, including a recent 2-0 win over Auxerre.

Key Factors to Consider

• Toulouse has an unbeaten home streak against Angers in recent meetings, with three wins and one draw in the last four encounters. They rely heavily on home form, scoring 13 of 18 league goals at Stadium de Toulouse. Angers has improved slightly, avoiding defeat in four of their last five and scoring first in matches, a strong factor given their resilience in coming back when conceding early. Toulouse remains unbeaten domestically when scoring first this season.
• In the last five games, Toulouse has dominated Angers with three wins, including a 4-0 and 2-0 victory, a draw, and one loss to Angers in 2019. Historically, Toulouse has the upper hand, particularly at home.
• No specific injury data was disclosed in available sources, indicating no critical absences reported ahead of this match.
• The match is played at Toulouse's home ground, giving them home advantage. Both teams are mid-table, less pressured by relegation or title chase, potentially reducing aggressive tactical risks. No external disruptions such as weather or key suspensions noted.
• Toulouse aims to extend their undefeated home run against Angers and stabilize league standing. Angers looks to continue its improved form, aiming for a rare away win at Toulouse. Both teams share moderate motivation with relatively balanced stakes for mid-table positioning rather than urgent survival or championship push.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -172, away: 475, draw: 285	Home Win (Toulouse)	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	home: -0.75 -128, away: 75 108	Toulouse -0.75	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	over: 2.25 -122, under: 2.25 102	Under 2.25 goals	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Toulouse -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.25 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Toulouse's strong home record against Angers and current form, a close match is expected. The most likely outcome is a draw or narrow Toulouse win, with the possibility of a 1-1 stalemate as the safest forecast.

Predicted Score: 1-1

Match Analysis: Nantes vs Lorient – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 23 November 2025
• Time: 4:15 PM UTC
• Location: Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau, Nantes, France

Game Overview

This is a crucial Ligue 1 relegation battle between two struggling teams. Nantes hosts Lorient in matchday 13, with both teams fighting for survival near the bottom of the table. Nantes currently sits 16th with 10 points from 12 matches, while Lorient occupies 17th place, also with 10 points but on a worse goal difference. This six-pointer could significantly impact both teams' survival prospects, with a win potentially lifting the victor as high as 13th place depending on other results.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nantes has struggled significantly, winning only 2 of their last 12 matches with 4 draws and 6 losses. They recently conceded a devastating 95th-minute equalizer against Le Havre and have failed to win in their last three matches. Lorient has been equally poor, going six matches without a win (3 draws, 3 losses). However, Lorient demonstrates superior offensive capability with 37 goals scored compared to Nantes' 21, and has won 8 matches overall versus Nantes' 4 wins. Defensively, Nantes has conceded 27 goals while Lorient has conceded 31.
• Historically, Lorient has significantly underperformed in this fixture. They have lost all three of their last competitive meetings against Nantes, including a 0-1 away defeat on February 24, 2024. Recent history shows Nantes winning 5-3 at home (September 2023) and Nantes claiming a 1-0 victory at home (February 2023). Lorient's last competitive win against Nantes was a 3-2 home victory on September 11, 2022. This psychological advantage heavily favors Nantes.
• Specific injury information is not available in the provided search results, preventing detailed analysis of squad availability for either team.
• Both teams' recent form has been devastating heading into this match. Nantes' recent 95th-minute concession suggests psychological fragility, while Lorient's winless streak (6 matches) indicates confidence issues. The home advantage strongly favors Nantes at Stade de la Beaujoire, where they typically perform better. Weather conditions and crowd support at Nantes' home ground provide additional advantages.
• This is a critical survival moment for both clubs. A win moves either team closer to safety, while a loss deepens their relegation troubles. Lorient's manager Olivier Pantaloni will be desperate to end their six-match winless streak. Nantes, under Luis Castro (appointed July 2025), need to build on Antoine Kombouare's encouraging end to last season. The desperation factor is equally high for both sides, but Nantes' home advantage and superior head-to-head record provide psychological momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Nantes: -158 | Draw: +240 | Lorient: +163	Nantes Win	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Nantes: -112 | Lorient: -108	Nantes -0.5	★★★☆☆ 56%
Over/under	Over 2.5: +102 | Under 2.5: -122	Under 2.5 Goals	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nantes 34%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nantes at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite both teams' poor form, Nantes' significant historical advantage in this fixture, home-ground benefit, and marginally better defensive record suggest they will secure a narrow victory. However, both teams' defensive vulnerabilities and limited scoring prowess make goals likely to be at a premium. The match is likely to be tight and competitive, reflecting both teams' desperation and precarious league position.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Nantes (Most Likely) | Alternative: 1-1 Draw | Secondary: 2-1 Nantes

Match Analysis: Auxerre vs Lyon – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 23, 2025
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre, France

Game Overview

Auxerre, languishing at the bottom of Ligue 1 with just 7 points from 10 matches, faces Lyon in a critical encounter at home. Auxerre have managed only 2 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses this season, with a concerning goal differential of -9. Their attack is the weakest in the division, having scored just 7 goals across 12 contests. Lyon, despite recent struggles and a last-minute defeat to the European champions, remain in a stronger position with 19 points from 10 matches (6 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). However, both sides are under pressure with inconsistent form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Auxerre are in a dire situation, having extended their winless run to seven matches before the international break. Their last victory came on September 21 at home against a single-goal performance. Across 12 Ligue 1 outings, they possess the poorest attack in the division by a considerable distance. Lyon, while showing more quality, suffered a recent last-minute defeat and are also dealing with a number of injuries and suspensions that will impact their selection.
• Lyon dominate the historical matchup, remaining undefeated in 28 of their last 31 encounters against Auxerre across all competitions. In their recent Ligue 1 head-to-head meetings, Auxerre has suffered defeat in 4 out of the last 6 matches. Most recently, Lyon defeated Auxerre 3-1 on April 13, 2025.
• Lyon are dealing with a number of injuries and suspensions that are likely to impact their selection for this fixture, potentially weakening their squad depth and forcing tactical adjustments.
• Auxerre have shown their best performances at home this season, where their most recent victory occurred. The home advantage at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps may provide some respite for the struggling hosts, though their overall form remains deeply concerning.
• Both teams carry significant pressure. Auxerre desperately need a result to climb away from the relegation zone and end their winless streak. Lyon seek to maintain their position in the upper half of the table and respond to recent setbacks, though they may be further motivated to secure three points against the league's weakest side.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Auxerre: +275 | Lyon: -102 | Draw: +240	Lyon Win	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	Auxerre: +50 -120 | Lyon: -0.5 +100	Lyon -0.5	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -105 | Under 2.5: -115	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Lyon 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Lyon at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite Auxerre's home advantage and Lyon's injury concerns, the away side's superior quality, historical dominance in this fixture, and stronger season-long performance suggest they will prevail. However, the combination of Lyon's selection challenges and Auxerre's home resilience could make this closer than expected. A Lyon victory remains the most probable outcome, though an Auxerre draw or upset cannot be entirely ruled out given the specific circumstances of this match.

Predicted Score: Auxerre 1-2 Lyon

Match Analysis: Paris Saint Germain vs Le Havre – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 8:05 PM UTC
• Location: Parc des Princes, Paris, France

Game Overview

This Ligue 1 clash sees league leaders Paris Saint-Germain host 12th-placed Le Havre at the Parc des Princes. PSG enters as overwhelming favorites, boasting a dominant head-to-head record and superior form, while Le Havre struggles for consistency and faces a tough away fixture against a powerhouse side.

Key Factors to Consider

• Paris Saint-Germain is in strong form, currently leading Ligue 1 with a record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 18 goals and conceding 21. Their recent results include wins over Brest (3-0) and Nice (1-0), as well as a draw against Lorient (1-1). Le Havre, in contrast, sits 12th with 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Their recent form is mixed, with a tendency to draw and struggle for goals.
• PSG has dominated the historical meetings, winning 10 of the last 11 encounters across all competitions, with Le Havre failing to win any of the past 9 meetings. The most recent head-to-head record shows PSG with 5 wins and 1 draw in the last 6 matches. PSG has scored 37 goals in these 9 meetings, while Le Havre has managed only 6. Both teams have scored in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches, indicating a trend of goals at both ends.
• PSG is missing key players due to injury: Achraf Hakimi, Nuno Mendes, Désiré Doué, and Ousmane Dembélé. Le Havre has no reported unavailable players, giving them a full squad for selection.
• PSG will play at home in front of a strong crowd at the Parc des Princes, providing a significant advantage. Le Havre's away form is less consistent, and they face a PSG side with a strong home record in head-to-head fixtures.
• PSG is motivated to maintain their league lead and continue their dominance over Le Havre. Le Havre will look to secure points to improve their mid-table position and potentially upset the odds, but their recent record against PSG is discouraging.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Le Havre: 1200, Paris Saint Germain: -675, Draw: 750	Paris Saint Germain	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	Le Havre: 2 -108, Paris Saint Germain: -2 -112	Paris Saint Germain -2	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	Over: 3.25 100, Under: 3.25 -120	Over 3.25	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Paris Saint Germain -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3.25 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Paris Saint-Germain is heavily favored to win this match based on their superior form, head-to-head dominance, and home advantage. Despite missing some key players, PSG's depth and attacking quality should be enough to overcome Le Havre. Le Havre may score, but PSG is expected to win comfortably.

Predicted Score: 4-1

Match Analysis: Rennes vs AS Monaco – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Roazhon Park, Rennes, France

Game Overview

The Ligue 1 match between Rennes (8th in standings) and AS Monaco (6th) at Roazhon Park on November 22, 2025, is poised to be competitive. Both teams have shown solid form with Monaco slightly ahead in the table and recent results.

Key Factors to Consider

• AS Monaco holds a slightly better recent form with 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses compared to Rennes’ 4 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses in the current Ligue 1 season. Monaco's recent wins against Rennes (3-2, 2-1) indicate a competitive edge. Key players include Monaco's forward E. Lepaul with 7 goals and Rennes' efforts hampered by a moderate goal-scoring record.
• In the last five meetings, AS Monaco has dominated with three wins and no draws, including a notable 3-2 victory in January 2025. Rennes’ only recent win was 2-0 in May 2023. This historical trend favors Monaco.
• No specific injury information is currently available for either team, suggesting squads are likely near full strength.
• The game is played at Rennes’ home stadium, Roazhon Park, possibly giving Rennes a home crowd advantage. No adverse weather or venue conditions reported.
• With Monaco positioned 6th and Rennes 8th, both teams are motivated to secure points for European qualification hopes. Monaco’s slightly higher league position may give them extra impetus to maintain or improve standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	AS Monaco: 1.39, Rennes: 1.65, Draw: 2.7	AS Monaco win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	AS Monaco: -122, Rennes: 102	AS Monaco -0	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 3: -118, Under 3: -102	Over 3 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Rennes 31%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rennes at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AS Monaco is favored to win the match based on recent form, head-to-head dominance, and league standing, but Rennes’ home advantage could keep the game tight. Expect a competitive match with Monaco edging out a narrow victory.

Predicted Score: 1-2

Match Analysis: RC Lens vs Strasbourg – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens, France

Game Overview

This Ligue 1 clash features RC Lens, currently in 3rd place and in contention for UEFA Champions League qualification, hosting Strasbourg, who sit 4th and are also pushing for European spots. Both teams are in strong form, with Lens having a slight edge at home and Strasbourg showing resilience away from home. The match is expected to be tightly contested, with both sides capable of scoring and defending well.

Key Factors to Consider

• RC Lens has been in excellent form, winning 6 of their last 18 meetings with Strasbourg and maintaining a strong position in the league. Strasbourg has also been competitive, winning two away games recently and showing a solid defensive record. Lens averages 1.67 goals scored per game and 1.0 allowed, while Strasbourg averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.0 allowed.
• The head-to-head record is closely matched. Across 21 meetings, Lens has won 9, Strasbourg 6, and there have been 6 draws. In the last 6 encounters, Lens has won 3, Strasbourg 2, and 1 ended in a draw. Lens has a slight edge in recent form, but Strasbourg has shown the ability to compete and win.
• Lens has no unavailable players. Strasbourg is missing several key players due to injury: Ben Chilwell, Emanuel Emegha, Karl-Johan Johnsson, Maxi Oyedele, Saidou Sow, and Samuel Amo-Ameyaw. This could impact Strasbourg's defensive and midfield options.
• The match is being played at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens's home ground, which provides a home advantage. The weather and pitch conditions are expected to be favorable for both teams.
• Both teams are highly motivated to secure a top-four finish and European qualification. Lens is aiming to maintain their position in the Champions League spots, while Strasbourg is looking to close the gap and potentially overtake Lens.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	RC Lens: 101, Strasbourg: 245, Draw: 260	RC Lens to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	RC Lens: -0.5 102, Strasbourg: 50 -122	RC Lens -0.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 2.75 -125, Under: 2.75 105	Under 2.75	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	RC Lens -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.75 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the home advantage, Lens's recent form, and Strasbourg's injury issues, Lens is favored to win. However, Strasbourg's resilience and the close head-to-head record suggest a tight match. A narrow victory for Lens is the most likely outcome.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: Nice vs Marseille – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-21
• Time: 7:45 PM UTC
• Location: Allianz Riviera, Nice, France

Game Overview

Nice hosts Marseille in a pivotal Ligue 1 clash at Allianz Riviera. Marseille, currently second in the table, are in strong form and chasing the league leaders, while Nice sit ninth and have struggled for consistency. The match is expected to be tightly contested, with Nice historically strong at home against Marseille, having won their last two meetings at this venue without conceding. Both teams are motivated, with Marseille aiming to close the gap on PSG and Nice looking to climb the table.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nice have lost two of their last three league games, including a 2-1 defeat at Metz before the international break. Marseille, on the other hand, are in excellent form, winning three of their last four league matches, including a 3-0 victory over Brest. Marseille have scored 28 goals this season, the most in the league, but only six away from home, indicating a potential struggle to break down a solid Nice defense.
• Nice have won their last two home meetings against Marseille, keeping clean sheets in both. Marseille's last away win at Allianz Riviera was in 2022. In the last six meetings in Nice, Marseille have only won once. The overall H2H record is close, but Nice have the recent edge at home.
• No major injuries reported for either side. Leonardo Balerdi is listed as a concern for Marseille, but is expected to be available.
• Nice have a strong home record this season, with a solid defense. Marseille's away form is less impressive, with only six goals scored in their away league games. The match is being played at Allianz Riviera, where Nice have been difficult to beat.
• Marseille are motivated to close the gap on PSG and could temporarily move to the top with a win. Nice are looking to improve their league position and build momentum after a mixed start to the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Marseille: -113, Nice: 275, Draw: 270	Nice	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Marseille: -0.5 -112, Nice: 50 -108	Nice +0.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 2.75 -115, Under: 2.75 -105	Under	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Marseille 76%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.75 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Marseille at 76% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nice are expected to put up a strong defensive performance at home, making it difficult for Marseille to score. Marseille's away form suggests they may struggle to break down Nice's defense. A low-scoring, tight match is anticipated, with Nice likely to edge it due to their home advantage and recent H2H record.

Predicted Score: Nice 1-0 Marseille