Match Analysis: Angers vs Strasbourg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-10
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Raymond Kopa
Game Overview
Angers, positioned 14th in Ligue 1 with 33 points, will host Strasbourg, who are 6th with 57 points, at Stade Raymond Kopa. Angers have struggled recently at home, winning only 1 of their last 7 home games, while Strasbourg have demonstrated strong form with a 67% win rate in their last 6 matches and an unbeaten streak over their last 12 Ligue 1 games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Angers has exhibited weak home performance, with 4 losses in their last 6 home matches and averaging just 0.94 goals per game. Strasbourg, contrastingly, have been consistent and resilient, remaining unbeaten in their last 12 Ligue 1 games and securing a 67% win rate in their recent 6 matches.
- In their last 6 Ligue 1 encounters, Angers has lost 3 times to Strasbourg, indicating a historical disadvantage in direct matchups.
- No specific injury data is available for either side at this moment, suggesting both teams are likely near full strength.
- The match is set at Angers' home ground, Stade Raymond Kopa, but given Angers' poor home form, the venue advantage is somewhat diminished. No unusual external conditions are reported.
- Strasbourg is motivated by their strong league position aiming for European qualification spots and to maintain their unbeaten streak. Angers, mid-table and with limited prospects, are motivated to improve home form but face an uphill challenge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Angers: 310, Strasbourg: -125, Draw: 290 | Strasbourg | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Angers +50: 100, Strasbourg -0.5: -120 | Strasbourg -0.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -102, Under 2.75: -118 | Under 2.75 | β β β ββ 57% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Strasbourg -17% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Strasbourg is favored to win this match, leveraging superior form, confidence from their unbeaten streak, and historical edge, with moderate confidence given Angers' home factor.
Predicted Score: 0-2