Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-08
- Time: 11:05 PM UTC
- Location: Tropicana Field, Tampa, FL
Game Overview
The Philadelphia Phillies faced the Tampa Bay Rays on May 7, 2025, resulting in a decisive 7-0 victory for the Phillies. Key offensive performances included Kyle Schwarber (3-4, HR, 2 RBI, SB), Trea Turner (solo HR, 2 RBI), and Bryce Harper (2 RBI double). Phillies pitching dominated Rays hitters, holding them to zero runs. The game was marked by aggressive Phillies offense and strong defensive play, setting the stage for the second game in the series. Bookmakers anticipate the Phillies as favorites with tight over/under lines.
Key Factors to Consider
- Phillies: Recent strong offensive output and dominant pitching. Key hitters (Schwarber, Turner, Harper) in form. Rays: Struggled to score, lack of offensive momentum in recent matchup.
- Most recent matchup: Phillies won 7-0. Previous meeting (exhibition): Rays edged Phillies 5-4.
- No major injuries reported affecting either team's key contributors.
- No adverse weather or venue factors expected. Wind 6 mph NW, temperatures in the high 70s.
- Phillies riding high after decisive win; Rays seeking to rebound at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | PHI: -136, TB: 116 | Philadelphia Phillies win | High (80%) |
Spread | PHI: -1.5 118, TB: 1.5 -142 | Phillies cover -1.5 | Moderate (65%) |
Over/under | Over 8.5 -110, Under 8.5 -110 | Under 8.5 | High (75%) |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies 8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Phillies favored to win again, likely by 1-2 runs, due to superior offensive form and momentum. Expect low to moderate scoring; likely under the over/under mark based on recent trends.
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 4, Tampa Bay Rays 2