Match Analysis: Bodø/Glimt vs Tottenham Hotspur – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-08
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Aspmyra Stadium
Game Overview
Second leg of the UEFA Europa League semi-final following Tottenham's 3-1 first-leg win. Bodø/Glimt need a two-goal margin to force extra time, having won 6/7 home Europa matches this season. Spurs hold a commanding aggregate lead but face a hostile northern Norway venue.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bodø/Glimt: 6 home wins in 7 Europa matches this season. Tottenham: 14-match unbeaten home Europa run, but away form less dominant.
- First competitive meetings occurred in this tie, with Spurs winning the initial encounter convincingly.
- No specific injury reports available in provided data, but Tottenham's physical approach (evidenced by aggressive man-marking strategies) risks fatigue.
- Aspmyra's artificial pitch and northern Norway climate could favor home side. Late Bodø/Glimt goal in first leg shifted momentum psychologically.
- Bodø/Glimt must attack relentlessly to overcome deficit. Tottenham may play conservatively to protect aggregate lead.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Bodø/Glimt: +173 | Tottenham: +130 | Draw +300 | Tottenham Hotspur or Draw | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Bodø/Glimt +25 (-126) | Tottenham -0.25 (+106) | Tottenham -0.25 (covers even with narrow loss) | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 3 (-103) | Under 3 (-117) | Under 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Tottenham Hotspur 4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tottenham's aggregate advantage and defensive organization (demonstrated through Maddison's man-marking masterclass) will likely contain Bodø/Glimt's attack. Expect a narrow Spurs loss or draw that sees them through.
Predicted Score: Bodø/Glimt 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur (Aggregate: 2-4)