Match Analysis: Bodø/Glimt vs Tottenham Hotspur – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-08
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Aspmyra
Game Overview
Tottenham leads 3-1 after the first leg but faces a Bodø/Glimt side undefeated in 6/7 home Europa League matches this season. Spurs aim to protect their two-goal cushion, while Bodø/Glimt requires at least two goals to force extra time, leveraging their home dominance and attacking threat from Kasper Høgh (7 Europa League goals in 2025).
Key Factors to Consider
- Bodø/Glimt: 6 home wins in 7 Europa matches | Tottenham: 14-match unbeaten home streak but weaker away form
- First-leg result (3-1 Spurs) creates tie dynamics favoring Tottenham's counter-attack approach
- No specific injury reports available in current data
- Bodø/Glimt's home crowd advantage at Aspmyra – critical for comeback attempts
- Spurs seek redemption for poor domestic season | Bodø/Glimt eye historic European final
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bodø/Glimt: 173 | Tottenham: 130 | Draw: 300 | Bodø/Glimt win (value pick given home form) | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Bodø/Glimt +25 (-126) | Tottenham -0.25 (106) | Bodø/Glimt covers +0.25 spread | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 3 (-103) | Under 3 (-117) | Over 3 goals | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bodø/Glimt 37% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3 28% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Bodø/Glimt at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tottenham advances via calculated counter-attacking approach, but Bodø/Glimt wins the second leg 2-1. Expect high offensive output from both sides given Glimt's home goalscoring record and Spurs' defensive vulnerabilities exposed in first-leg late concession.
Predicted Score: 2-1 Bodø/Glimt (Tottenham advances 4-3 on aggregate)