Match Analysis: Panathinaikos vs Anadolu Efes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-06
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Sinan Erdem Dome (likely, as Efes hosted Game 3; confirm venue)
Game Overview
Panathinaikos leads the best-of-five EuroLeague quarterfinal series 2-1 after surviving a late Efes rally in Game 3 (81-77) behind Kendrick Nunn's 25-point performance. Game 4 (or potential Game 5) will determine final series outcome, with Panathinaikos aiming to close on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Panathinaikos dominates rebounding (35-26 in Game 3, 15 offensive boards) and free-throw efficiency (16/16). Efes struggles with second-half defense, allowing Nunn 19 points post-halftime.
- Recent games show narrow margins: Game 3 (81-77 PAO), earlier playoff games likely similarly competitive. Game 4 details unclear from sources.
- No reported injuries. Monitor lineup changes pre-game.
- Efes home crowd pressure vs. Panathinaikos' playoff experience. Greens' flawless FT shooting under pressure in Game 3 critical.
- Panathinaikos seeks first Final Four since recent title; Efes faces elimination or series extension.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | PAO -250 / Efes +205 | Panathinaikos ML | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | PAO -6 (-110) / Efes +6 (-110) | Efes +6 covers | 60% (last 3 games decided by ≤7 points) |
Over/under | 168.5 (-110) | Under 168.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Panathinaikos -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 168.5 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 168.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Panathinaikos ML (-250) offers value given superior clutch execution and rebounding dominance, though 6-point spread risky against Efes' home- court resilience.
Predicted Score: Panathinaikos 83-78 Anadolu Efes (actual score would invert for Efes home game – verify venue)