Match Analysis: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 4, 2025
- Time: 5:36 PM UTC
- Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Game Overview
AL East clash between first-place Yankees (19-14) and fourth-place Rays (15-18) with series-deciding implications. Yankees hold home-field advantage and stronger recent performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Yankees demonstrate superior divisional standing (+4 games) and home-record leverage. Rays struggle below .500 with defensive inconsistencies exacerbated by road play.
- Recent series parity suggests competitive matchup; winner claims 3-game series momentum.
- No specific injury data available in provided results; assume standard roster configurations.
- Day game conditions at Yankee Stadium (1:35 PM EDT) potentially favor pitchers early; wind/weather data unavailable but historically favorable for left-handed power hitters.
- Yankees seek divisional consolidation; Rays aim to avoid falling deeper into AL East cellar.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | NYY -178 / TB +150 | Yankees ML | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | NYY -1.5 (+114) / TB +1.5 (-137) | NYY -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 9 (+100) / Under 9 (-122) | Over 9 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Yankees 58% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 9 4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Yankees at 58% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Yankees leverage home dominance and deeper bullpen to cover spread in high-scoring affair.
Predicted Score: NYY 6 – TB 4