Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Flamengo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-04
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Not specified in data
Game Overview
Cruzeiro has a strong recent form against Flamengo, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings (D1, L0), while Flamengo holds a historical edge (19 wins in 42 meetings). Flamengo's current Serie A form includes two recent away wins, but Cruzeiro's recent H2H dominance suggests competitiveness.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cruzeiro: 1.2 goals scored, 0.8 conceded in last 5 matches. Flamengo: 2.4 goals scored, 0.0 conceded in last 5 matches[2].
- Cruzeiro: 15 wins, Flamengo: 19 wins, 8 draws in 42 matches[2]. Recent 5 games: Cruzeiro 4W-1D-0L[2].
- Not specified in data
- No crowd/weather data available
- Both teams likely pushing for league position, with Flamengo potentially favored due to superior goal-scoring form
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cruzeiro: +330, Flamengo: -110, Draw: +240 | Flamengo (lean Draw) | 65% Flamengo, 25% Draw, 10% Cruzeiro |
Spread | Cruzeiro +50 (-112), Flamengo -0.5 (-108) | Flamengo -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.25 (+102), Under 2.25 (-122) | Under 2.25 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Flamengo -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
High probability of under 2.25 goals given Cruzeiro's defensive record against Flamengo's clinical attack. Narrow Flamengo win or draw most likely.
Predicted Score: 0-1 or 1-1 (leaning 0-1)