Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Santos – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-04
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: [Not Provided]
Game Overview
Grêmio and Santos are evenly matched in their head-to-head history, with both teams winning 15-17 matches out of their last encounters. Grêmio averages around 1.67 goals per game this season, while Santos averages about 1.48. Recent form shows Santos as slightly more variable in results.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams have similar performance metrics, but Grêmio tends to score more at home.
- Historically, the matches between Grêmio and Santos are closely contested with a high number of draws and goals.
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- Both teams should be highly motivated as they seek points in the Campeonato.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Grêmio: 120, Santos: 245, Draw: 225 | Draw or Grêmio | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | Grêmio: -0.25 -112, Santos: 25 -108 | Santos on spread | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Over/under | Over: 2.25 108, Under: 2.25 -128 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Draw -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the historical evenness and recent performances, a draw seems plausible, but Grêmio’s home advantage might slightly tip the scale.
Predicted Score: Grêmio 1 – 1 Santos