Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-04
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Not specified (typically Vasco da Gama plays at Estádio São Januário)
Game Overview
Vasco da Gama hosts Palmeiras in a Brazilian Campeonato match. Palmeiras, being one of the stronger teams, is favored by the moneyline odds.
Key Factors to Consider
- Palmeiras has historically performed better, particularly in recent years, with a strong squad and tactical depth. Vasco da Gama, however, has shown resilience, especially in last five matches against Palmeiras, winning three and drawing two.
- Palmeiras has won 17 out of 34 matches against Vasco da Gama since 2004, with Vasco da Gama winning only six and drawing 11 times[2].
- No specific injury reports provided for this match.
- The match's venue often favors Vasco da Gama's home advantage, but Palmeiras' overall quality and depth can mitigate this.
- Palmeiras aims to assert dominance and maintain their position at the top, while Vasco da Gama seeks an upset to boost their standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Vasco da Gama: 420, Palmeiras: -135, Draw: 260 | Palmeiras win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | Palmeiras: -0.75 -105, Vasco da Gama: 75 -115 | Palmeiras covers the spread | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over: 2.25 -108, Under: 2.25 -112 | Under 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Palmeiras 39% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 53% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Palmeiras is anticipated to win due to their superior performance history and strong team dynamics.
Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Palmeiras