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Augsburg vs. Holstein Kiel Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 4 May 2025
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: WWK ARENA, Augsburg, Germany

Game Overview

Augsburg (10th) hosts Holstein Kiel (17th) in a Bundesliga clash. Kiel has shown attacking prowess with multiple high-scoring games, but their defensive frailties and position near the relegation zone make this a critical fixture.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kiel has scored 4+ goals in three games this season, including a 5-1 win in the reverse fixture. Augsburg's recent performances suggest defensive vulnerabilities but home advantage could be key.
  • Holstein Kiel dominated the previous meeting (5-1), indicating potential psychological edge.
  • Augsburg: Yusuf Kabadayi (knee surgery), David Zec (concussion), Marco Komenda (thigh). Kiel: Patrick Erras (concussion), Lewis Holtby (muscle), Andu Kelati (knee). Fiete Arp returns from suspension for Kiel.
  • Kiel's relegation battle adds urgency, while Augsburg aims to consolidate mid-table position. No significant weather concerns reported.
  • Kiel is fighting for survival; Augsburg seeks to capitalize on home crowd support to secure a strong finish.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Augsburg -120 | Draw 285 | Kiel 310 Augsburg to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Augsburg -0.5 (-118) | Kiel +50 (-102) Augsburg to cover -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-120) | Under 2.5 (+100) Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Augsburg -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Augsburg to edge a high-scoring encounter. Kiel’s attack may challenge, but home advantage and defensive reinforcements (Arne Maier returning) help secure victory.

Predicted Score: 3-2 (Augsburg)


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SC Freiburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 4, 2025
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany

Game Overview

SC Freiburg, currently ranked 4th in the Bundesliga, will host Bayer Leverkusen, ranked 2nd, on May 4, 2025. The match is expected to be intense as both teams vie for crucial points in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Freiburg has been strong at home, winning 10 of their last 16 home matches. Bayer Leverkusen has secured 3 wins in their last 6 away fixtures.
  • Recent head-to-head statistics are not fully detailed, but Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen have a competitive history.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could impact the game but are not detailed.
  • Bayer Leverkusen is highly motivated to maintain their 2nd place position, while Freiburg seeks to close the gap with a win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bayer Leverkusen: 125, SC Freiburg: 210, Draw: 255 Bayer Leverkusen to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Bayer Leverkusen: -0.25 -108, SC Freiburg: 25 -112 Bayer Leverkusen to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.75: -108, Under 2.75: -112 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bayer Leverkusen 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bayer Leverkusen at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen is favored to win due to their stronger league position and recent away performance.

Predicted Score: Bayer Leverkusen 3, SC Freiburg 1


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Borussia Dortmund vs. VfL Wolfsburg Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, Germany

Game Overview

Borussia Dortmund, currently 6th in the Bundesliga, faces VfL Wolfsburg, 12th in the league. Dortmund is in strong form, having won six of their last ten matches, while Wolfsburg has struggled with five losses in the same period.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dortmund has been consistent at home, winning three of their last six matches, while Wolfsburg has lost half of their away games. Historically, Dortmund has dominated Wolfsburg in head-to-head matches.
  • Dortmund has emerged victorious in 61% of their Bundesliga matches against Wolfsburg and hasn't lost to them in 11 consecutive home games.
  • No significant injury updates are available at this time.
  • Weather and crowd support are expected to favor Dortmund.
  • Dortmund's motivation for a top-four finish is high, while Wolfsburg is out of the European football race.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dortmund: -305, Wolfsburg: 650, Draw: 500 Dortmund win ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Dortmund: -1.5 -120, Wolfsburg: 1.5 100 Dortmund to cover ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.5: -118, Under 3.5: -102 Over 3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Borussia Dortmund 388%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Borussia Dortmund at 388% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 59.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the strong performance of Dortmund and their favorable head-to-head record, they are likely to win.

Predicted Score: 3-1 in favor of Dortmund


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Borussia Monchengladbach vs. TSG Hoffenheim Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Borussia Monchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 3 May 2025
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Borussia-Park, Monchengladbach, Germany

Game Overview

Borussia M'gladbach hosts Hoffenheim in a Bundesliga clash with potential implications for mid-table positioning. Hoffenheim faces a critical absence of goalkeeper Oliver Baumann (concussion), replaced by backup Luca Philipp, who has five league appearances this season. Gladbach aims to capitalize on Hoffenheim's defensive instability after their 3-2 loss to Dortmund.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hoffenheim's recent 3-2 loss to Dortmund showcased defensive vulnerabilities, compounded by Baumann's absence. Gladbach's home advantage and Hoffenheim's reliance on backup goalkeeper Philipp could tilt momentum.
  • Recent H2H data is limited here, but Sofascore notes the teams played twice last season (specific results unspecified). Current form and squad changes may override historical patterns.
  • Hoffenheim's starting goalkeeper Oliver Baumann is out with a concussion. No significant injuries reported for Gladbach in the provided data.
  • Gladbach's home crowd at Borussia-Park could provide an edge. Hoffenheim's defensive reshuffle post-Baumann injury introduces unpredictability.
  • Both teams are likely competing for mid-table security, with late-season urgency to avoid slip-ups.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gladbach: 105 | Hoffenheim: 215 | Draw: 310 Gladbach win or draw ★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread Gladbach -0.25 (-120) | Hoffenheim +25 (100) Gladbach covers -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 3.25 (-108) | Under 3.25 (-112) Over 3.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Borussia Monchengladbach 85%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Borussia Monchengladbach at 85% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Borussia M'gladbach slight favorites due to home advantage and opponent's goalkeeping crisis. Expect a narrow win or draw with moderate-to-high scoring.

Predicted Score: 2-1 or 2-2 (leaning toward 2-1 Gladbach with goalkeeping uncertainty)


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RB Leipzig vs. Bayern Munich Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Red Bull Arena

Game Overview

Bayern Munich can secure the Bundesliga title with a win, while RB Leipzig fights for Champions League qualification. Bayern leads the league with 90 goals scored and 29 conceded, while Leipzig sits fifth, two points behind fourth.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bayern has won two straight, including a 3-0 win over Mainz. Leipzig's defense has conceded 42 goals (1.35 per match) with 13 clean sheets.
  • Recent data unavailable, but Bayern's league dominance (23-6-2 record) gives them a historical edge.
  • Harry Kane's status uncertain (per Bundesliga.com report). Leipzig's Xavi Simons fully fit and in form with 9 goals/5 assists in 2025.
  • Title-clinching scenario for Bayern adds pressure. Leipzig's home advantage with Champions League stakes.
  • Bayern's title urgency vs. Leipzig's desperation for top-four finish.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bayern -150 / Leipzig +330 / Draw +360 Bayern Munich ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Bayern -0.75 (-122) / Leipzig +75 (+102) Bayern covers -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3.5 (-110) / Under 3.5 (-110) Over 3.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bayern Munich -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bayern Munich at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bayern wins 2-1 in competitive match, leveraging superior attack (90 goals) against Leipzig's inconsistent defense.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Bayern Munich


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FC St. Pauli vs. VfB Stuttgart Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 3 May 2025
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg – St. Pauli, Germany

Game Overview

Mid-table clash between 14th-placed FC St. Pauli and 11th-placed VfB Stuttgart. Limited head-to-head data available for the 2024/2025 season, with only one prior meeting mentioned in search results (specific outcome unreported). Both teams demonstrated attacking intent in previous fixtures, with Stuttgart showing offensive flair via players like Führich and Stiller.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Stuttgart displays better recent form based on implied match commentary (creating chances, aggressive attacks), while St. Pauli relies on Guilavogui's return to boost their attack[1][4].
  • Insufficient head-to-head data for the current season. Historical Bundesliga encounters are not detailed in available sources[1][3][5].
  • No specific injury reports available in provided data.
  • Home advantage for St. Pauli at the Millerntor-Stadion, known for its passionate crowd[2][5].
  • Both teams likely pushing for mid-table security, with potential for high-intensity play given close league positions[1][2].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC St. Pauli: +170 | Draw: +255 | VfB Stuttgart: +150 VfB Stuttgart (moneyline) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread FC St. Pauli: 0 (+100) | VfB Stuttgart: 0 (-120) VfB Stuttgart (spread) ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 2.75 (+102) | Under 2.75 (-122) Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline VfB Stuttgart 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

VfB Stuttgart to edge a close match given marginally better squad depth and recent attacking form, but St. Pauli's home advantage introduces volatility.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Union Berlin vs. Werder Bremen Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Game Overview

Union Berlin and Werder Bremen meet in a Bundesliga clash with contrasting forms. Union Berlin has shown defensive resilience, while Werder Bremen's attacking output is superior. Head-to-head history favors Union Berlin (6 wins in 11 meetings), but Werder Bremen's recent away form and goal-scoring efficiency add complexity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Union Berlin struggles offensively (1.03 goals/game) but has better defensive metrics (1.43 goals conceded/game). Werder Bremen scores more (1.55 goals/game) but concedes more (1.74 goals/game).
  • Union Berlin leads 6-4 in 11 meetings, with 1 draw[2][4]. Recent matches show competitive balance, but historical dominance leans toward Union Berlin.
  • No specific injury data available in the provided sources.
  • Werder Bremen's superior away form (8 away wins) could counter Union Berlin's home advantage.
  • Werder Bremen (8th place) may push for higher mid-table security, while Union Berlin's position (unstated in sources) likely demands points to avoid relegation risks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Union Berlin +170 | Draw +255 | Werder Bremen +150 Werder Bremen (slight edge) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Union Berlin 0 (-102) | Werder Bremen 0 (-118) Werder Bremen 0 (pick'em, slight lean) ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-118) | Under 2.5 (-102) Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Werder Bremen 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Werder Bremen at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Value lies with Werder Bremen's attacking quality and away form. A tight match likely, but Bremen's edge in goal production gives them a slight advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Werder Bremen


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1. FC Heidenheim vs. VfL Bochum Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: 1. FC Heidenheim vs VfL Bochum – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der Brenz, Germany

Game Overview

1. FC Heidenheim is set to face VfL Bochum in a critical Bundesliga match. Both teams are currently battling relegation, with Heidenheim ranked 16th and Bochum 18th.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Heidenheim has shown better form in terms of points, but Bochum recently earned a win against them. Heidenheim has 34 points from 29 games, while Bochum has 27 points from the same number of games.
  • In their last meeting, Bochum won 2-0 with goals from Matúš Bero and Moritz Broschinski. Another recent match ended in a 1-1 draw.
  • No specific injury updates are available for this match.
  • The match could be heavily influenced by both teams' need to avoid relegation, impacting motivation and strategy.
  • Given their positions, both teams are highly motivated to secure points, but Heidenheim might have more room for error due to their better standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -130 (Heidenheim), 200 (Bochum), 260 (Draw) Heidenheim Win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread -0.25 (Heidenheim) 100, 25 (Bochum) -120 Heidenheim Cover ★★★☆☆ 53%
Over/under Over 2.75 -108, Under 2.75 -112 Under 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 51%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline 1. FC Heidenheim 62%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: 1. FC Heidenheim at 62% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Heidenheim is expected to have a slight advantage due to their home ground and slightly better form, but this match could go either way.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Werder Bremen vs. FC St. Pauli Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Werder Bremen vs FC St. Pauli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-27
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Weserstadion, Bremen

Game Overview

Werder Bremen, ranked 8th, faces FC St. Pauli, ranked 14th, in a Bundesliga match on April 27, 2025. Both teams are seeking crucial points for different reasons: Werder Bremen to solidify their mid-table position and St. Pauli to avoid relegation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Werder Bremen has generally performed better throughout the season, with a stronger recent form compared to St. Pauli.
  • Recent head-to-head matches favor Werder Bremen, who have notched more wins against St. Pauli in their last few encounters.
  • No significant injury updates are available, but these can influence team dynamics and performance.
  • Home advantage may favor Werder Bremen, as playing at the Weserstadion often boosts their morale and performance.
  • St. Pauli, being lower in the standings, might have higher motivation to secure points and avoid relegation, while Werder Bremen aims to maintain their position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -110, away: 280, draw: 275 Werder Bremen ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread home: -0.5 -108, away: 50 -112 Werder Bremen -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: 2.5 -120, under: 2.5 100 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Werder Bremen 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Werder Bremen at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Werder Bremen is likely to emerge victorious due to their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Werder Bremen


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VfL Bochum vs. Union Berlin Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: VfL Bochum vs Union Berlin – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 27 Apr 2025
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum

Game Overview

Bochum enters with mixed recent form (L-W-L-W-L), while Union Berlin has shown inconsistency (W-D-W-L-L). The fixture is critical for potential mid-table positioning, with both teams eager to secure points late in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bochum's home form shows volatility, indicated by alternating wins and losses. Union Berlin's away performances require scrutiny, though their overall attack momentum could challenge Bochum's defense[1][3].
  • Previous Bundesliga encounters suggest competitiveness, with their most recent meeting (Dec 2024) ending 1-1[4].
  • No injury data available from current sources; assume fully fit squads unless updated pre-match[2].
  • No weather disruptions reported. Home advantage for Bochum might counter Union Berlin's tactical discipline.
  • Both teams are likely fighting to avoid lower-half finishes, increasing urgency for a result[1][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bochum 125 | Draw 255 | Union Berlin 205 Bochum (narrow win) or Draw 55% combined confidence (Bochum 30% | Draw 25% | Union Berlin 20%)
Spread Bochum -0.25 (-102) | Union Berlin +25 (-118) Bochum -0.25 covers if avoiding loss 50% (hinges on home momentum vs. Union's defense)
Over/under Over 2.5 (-120) | Under 2.5 (+100) Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline VfL Bochum 58%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: VfL Bochum at 58% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tight match favoring Bochum marginally due to home edge and shorter odds (1.25 implied probability: ~44.4%), but Union Berlin's spread hedge (-0.25) complicates the outcome. Expect under 2.5 goals given both teams' inconsistency in attack.

Predicted Score: 1-1 (Draw) or 1-0 (Bochum)


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