Match Analysis: Monza vs Atalanta BC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-04
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: U-Power Stadium
Game Overview
Monza, struggling at the bottom of Serie A, faces a tough challenge against third-placed Atalanta. The significant form difference and previous head-to-head results suggest Atalanta has a strong advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Atalanta is in mixed form but has been strong on the road, winning 11 away matches. Monza has struggled, losing 5 of their last 5 Serie A games.
- Atalanta dominates the head-to-head, winning 5 of the last 6 meetings against Monza with no Monza wins.
- Not specified, but typically, injuries could significantly impact team performance.
- Home advantage for Monza might provide some motivation, but Atalanta's overall form and H2H makes them favorites.
- Atalanta's motivation to maintain a top spot in Serie A is high, while Monza fights to avoid relegation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Monza: 1000, Atalanta BC: -435, Draw: 550 | Atalanta BC | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Spread | Atalanta BC: -1.75 -118, Monza: 1.75 -102 | Atalanta BC to cover -1.75 | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Over/under | Over: 3.25 102, Under: 3.25 -122 | Under 3.25 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Atalanta BC 7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3.25 0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Atalanta BC at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Atalanta is likely to secure a convincing victory given their previous encounters and form.
Predicted Score: Atalanta BC 3, Monza 0