Match Analysis: Seattle Sounders FC vs St. Louis City SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-04
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Lumen Field, Seattle, USA
Game Overview
Seattle Sounders (9th) host St. Louis City SC (12th) in a mid-table MLS clash. St. Louis recently defeated Seattle 1-0 (March 2025) for their fourth consecutive shutout, while Seattle seeks redemption at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- St. Louis demonstrated exceptional defensive organization in their March victory, while Seattle's 9th-place position suggests consistency but potential offensive struggles.
- St. Louis won their only 2025 meeting 1-0. Historical H2H data is limited given St. Louis' recent MLS entry.
- No specific injury data available in provided sources. Monitor pre-match updates for late changes.
- Home advantage for Seattle at Lumen Field with likely favorable crowd support. Weather conditions unknown based on current data.
- Seattle seeks home redemption after recent loss, while St. Louis aims to prove their March win wasn't a fluke.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle -180 / St. Louis +500 / Draw +320 | Seattle Moneyline | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Seattle -1 (-108) / St. Louis +1 (-112) | Seattle -1 (Cover) | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 (-118) / Under 2.5 (-102) | Under 2.5 Goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Sounders FC 260% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Seattle Sounders FC at 260% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 52% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle to win narrowly (1-0/2-1) with moderate confidence due to home advantage and talent differential.
Predicted Score: 2-1 Seattle