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Brayan Leon vs. Aaron Guerrero Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Brayan Leon vs Aaron Guerrero – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

Undefeated prospect Brayan Leon (6-0-0) faces experienced Aaron Guerrero (11-1-3) in an 8-round light heavyweight bout on the Canelo-Scull undercard. Leon holds physical parity (6'0"/183 cm) but Guerrero brings a significant experience edge in rounds fought (15 pro bouts vs. 6).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leon maintains a pristine 0% KO ratio through 6 fights versus Guerrero's 0% KO ratio across 15 bouts, suggesting a technical battle favoring volume punching over power.
  • No prior meetings. Guerrero's record includes 3 draws and a loss, indicating potential vulnerability to aggressive opponents.
  • No reported injuries pre-fight.
  • High-profile undercard placement on Canelo's event may intensify pressure, particularly on young prospect Leon.
  • Leon seeks to validate unbeaten record on global stage; Guerrero aims to rebound from career stagnation (3 draws in last 5 fights likely).

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Leon -5000 | Guerrero +1400 Leon moneyline High (80%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brayan Leon 1325%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brayan Leon at 1325% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 94.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brayan Leon via decision (confidence: 75%) – superior activity and undefeated mentality outweigh Guerrero's experience in what appears to be a matchmaker's showcase.

Predicted Score: 77-75 Leon (8-round decision)


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Brayan Leon vs. Aaron Guerrero Prediction

Match Analysis: Brayan Leon vs Aaron Guerrero – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-03 Time: 9:00 PM UTC Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia Game Overview Undefeated prospect Brayan Leon (6-0-0) faces experienced Aaron Guerrero (11-1-3) in an 8-round light heavyweight bout on the Canelo-Scull undercard. Leon holds physical parity (6'0"/183 cm) but Guerrero brings a […]

Aaron Guerrero Boxing Brayan Leon May 3, 2025

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Canelo Álvarez vs. William Scull Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Canelo Álvarez vs William Scull – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

Undisputed super middleweight champion Canelo Álvarez defends his titles against undefeated mandatory challenger William Scull. Canelo brings elite counterpunching and championship experience (60-2-2, 39 KOs), while Scull (22-0, 9 KOs) faces his first career-defining test with significant physical advantages in height and reach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canelo dominates in championship experience (18+ years as pro) and KO power (39 KOs). Scull lacks elite-level competition but maintains perfect record.
  • First meeting between fighters
  • No reported injuries
  • Scull's mandatory challenger status pressures Canelo; Saudi Arabia's Riyadh Season event amplifies global spotlight
  • Canelo defends legacy ahead of potential Crawford clash; Scull seeks career-altering upset

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canelo -5000 | Scull +1200 Canelo Álvarez ★★★★★ 95%
Over/under Over 9.5 Rounds -125 | Under 9.5 Rounds -105 Over 9.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canelo Álvarez -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canelo by decision (60-54 scorecard equivalent) – superior ring IQ and championship seasoning will overcome Scull's physical advantages

Predicted Score: Unanimous Decision for Canelo (117-111, 118-110, 116-112)


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Jaime Munguia vs. Bruno Surace Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jaime Munguia vs Bruno Surace – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: The Venue, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

Rematch following Surace's shocking 6th-round KO of Munguia (ESPN's 2024 Upset of the Year). Munguia (-2500 favorite in first meeting) seeks redemption after two losses in last three fights, now training with Eddy Reynoso. Surace aims to prove his first win wasn't a fluke.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Munguia has 80% KO rate (35/44 wins) vs Surace's 19% (5/26). Surace ranked No.9 after first win; Munguia dropped to No.10. Munguia coming off 10th-round KO of Bazinyan before Surace loss.
  • Surace 1-0 (KO6). Key factor: Surace showed unexpected power while Munguia struggled defensively despite flooring Surace in Rd2.
  • No reported injuries. Munguia potentially compromised by grueling Canelo fight (UD loss May 2024) before first Surace bout.
  • Neutral site (Saudi Arabia) removes home advantage Munguia had in first fight. Co-main event to Canelo-Scull adds pressure.
  • Munguia exercising rematch clause immediately shows urgency. Surace motivated to earn Canelo shot ('I want to fight you' – YouTube 5/1/25).

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Surace +550 / Munguia -900 Munguia moneyline ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 8.5 (-115) / Under 8.5 (-115) Under 8.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jaime Munguia 453%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jaime Munguia at 453% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 82.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Munguia by decision (60%) or late KO (30%). Surace's puncher's chance remains (10%) given proven power and Munguia's defensive lapses.

Predicted Score: Munguia via KO/TKO Rd7-9 (60% confidence) or UD12 (25%). 15% chance Surace repeat KO.


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Badou Jack vs. Noel Mikaelian Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Badou Jack vs Noel Mikaelian – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: The Venue, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

Badou Jack (WBC cruiserweight champion) defends his title against Noel Mikaelian (WBC champion in recess) in a 12-round bout. Mikaelian replaces Ryan Rozicki due to injury, seeking to reclaim the title he briefly held in 2023. Both fighters are seasoned with extensive records: Jack (28-3-3, 17 KOs), Mikaelian (27-2, 12 KOs).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jack has superior KO power (17 KOs vs 12 KOs) and recent promotional momentum (WBC champion since December 2024). Mikaelian's last fight was a November 2023 KO win over Ilunga Makabu, but he's faced contractual issues and inactivity since.
  • No prior meetings. Mikaelian holds the stylistic advantage as a natural cruiserweight, while Jack has moved up multiple weight classes.
  • Jack hasn't fought since 2023 but shows no reported injuries. Mikaelian withdrew from three 2024 fights but claims full fitness now.
  • Fight occurs on Canelo-Scull undercard in Saudi Arabia's boxing hotspot. No significant travel/time zone advantages.
  • Jack seeks unification/undisputed status. Mikaelian aims to prove he's the legitimate WBC champion after being stripped.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jack +130 / Mikaelian -160 Mikaelian moneyline ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 10.5 (-200) / Under 10.5 (+160) Over 10.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Noel Mikaelian 27%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 10.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Noel Mikaelian at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mikaelian by decision (55%) or late-round KO (15%). Jack's best path is early aggression (30%). Expect technical battle favoring Mikaelian's sharper recent form.

Predicted Score: Mikaelian via UD (117-111) or late TKO (Round 11-12)


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Martin Bakole vs. Efe Ajagba Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Martin Bakole vs Efe Ajagba – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

Top 10 heavyweights Martin Bakole (22-1, 16 KOs) and Efe Ajagba (20-1, 14 KOs) clash in a high-stakes bout on the undercard of Canelo Alvarez vs. William Scull. Bakole seeks redemption after a devastating 2nd-round KO loss to Joseph Parker in February 2025, while Ajagba aims to cement elite status with a statement win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bakole’s technical skills and resume (wins over Tony Yoka, Jared Anderson) contrast with Ajagba’s raw power. Bakole faces concerns about chin durability after recent KO loss, while Ajagba’s stamina in later rounds remains untested at elite level.
  • First professional meeting between the fighters.
  • Bakole’s potential lingering effects from 2nd-round KO loss to Parker 10 weeks prior; no reported injuries for Ajagba.
  • Fight moved to Riyadh from New York to bolster Canelo undercard; Saudi event pressure may favor experienced Bakole.
  • Bakole fights for career survival after recent setback; Ajagba seeks breakout win for title contention.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bakole -350 | Ajagba +260 Bakole ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 7.5 (-125) | Under 7.5 (-105) Over 7.5 Rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Martin Bakole -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 7.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 7.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Martin Bakole by mid-round TKO (7th-9th) if chin holds early. If Ajagba’s power connects early, upset KO possible. Technical edge favors Bakole unless KO trauma resurfaces.

Predicted Score: Bakole via TKO (Round 8)


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Marco Verde vs. Michel Polina Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marco Verde vs Michel Polina – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

Marco Verde and Michel Polina are set to face off in a professional boxing match on May 3, 2025, in Riyadh. Marco Verde, making his pro debut, is heavily favored against Michel Polina.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marco Verde is entering his professional debut, while Michel Polina is an experienced opponent. The significant odds disparity suggests a strong belief in Verde's potential.
  • There is no previous head-to-head history between these fighters.
  • No reported injuries from either fighter.
  • Fighting in Riyadh might not provide a home advantage for either, but the event's high profile could add pressure.
  • Both fighters will be highly motivated—Verde to start his career strongly and Polina to cause an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -10000 for Marco Verde and 1800 for Michel Polina Marco Verde ★★★★★ 90%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marco Verde -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on the odds and Verde's debut status, Marco Verde is likely to win. However, upsets can happen, especially with significant mismatches in experience.

Predicted Score: N/A—Boxing matches do not have traditional scores like team sports.


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Devin Haney vs. Jose Ramirez Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Devin Haney vs Jose Ramirez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Times Square, New York City, US

Game Overview

12-round super lightweight bout between undefeated technician Devin Haney (31-0, 15 KOs) and former unified champion Jose Ramirez (29-2, 18 KOs). Haney's elite ring IQ and defensive mastery clash with Ramirez's relentless pressure and volume punching. Fight occurs at 144-lb catchweight.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Haney's flawless record includes recent wins over elite competition. Ramirez returns from a layoff, historically excels against aggressive fighters but struggled against mobile technicians (e.g., Josh Taylor loss).
  • First professional meeting. Stylistically, Haney's movement/jab vs Ramirez's body attack creates compelling clash.
  • No reported injuries. Ramirez's trainer noted improved footwork during camp.
  • Times Square venue adds psychological pressure. Haney's size advantage (rehydrated welterweight frame) could negate Ramirez's natural 140lb strength.
  • Haney seeks validation at 144lbs; Ramirez aims to regain championship status. Both made heated remarks during Grand Arrivals.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Haney -900 | Ramirez +550 Haney wins (-900) ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 10.5 -600 | Under 10.5 +400 Over 10.5 rounds (-600) ★★★★★ 95%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Devin Haney 453%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 10.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Devin Haney at 453% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 82.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Haney by decision (UD/SD) with 65% confidence. Expect a tactical battle where Haney's jab and clinch work neutralize Ramirez's pressure. Over 10.5 rounds is near-certain given both fighters' durability.

Predicted Score: 117-111 Haney (9-3 in rounds)


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Ryan Garcia vs. Rolando Romero Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ryan Garcia vs Rolando Romero – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Times Square, New York City

Game Overview

Ryan Garcia and Rolando Romero face off in a highly anticipated welterweight bout. Garcia seeks redemption after a turbulent year, while Romero aims to reinvent himself at a new weight class.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ryan Garcia brings blistering speed and technique, while Rolando Romero relies on pressure and one-punch power.
  • First-time encounter between the two fighters.
  • No reported significant injuries for either fighter.
  • Times Square setting adds unique energy to the fight.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to prove themselves in the boxing world.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -1250 for Ryan Garcia, +700 for Rolando Romero Ryan Garcia ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 6.5: -125, Under 6.5: -105 Under 6.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ryan Garcia -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 6.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Ryan Garcia is favored to win due to his superior speed and technical skills.

Predicted Score: Ryan Garcia wins by a decision or late-round knockout.


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Teofimo Lopéz vs. Arnold Barboza Jr Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Teofimo Lopéz vs Arnold Barboza Jr – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Times Square, New York

Game Overview

The fight between Teofimo López and Arnold Barboza Jr. pits a highly athletic and explosive boxer against a technically disciplined undefeated opponent. López is known for his unorthodox style and knockout power, while Barboza excels at exploiting mistakes with his slick counters and defensive skills.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Teofimo López has shown inconsistency, sometimes struggling with his jab and footwork, which could be exploited by Barboza's technical approach. Barboza is coming off a confidence-boosting win and has experience against top-level opponents.
  • This is their first meeting, but López's athleticism could allow him to adapt to Barboza's style. Meanwhile, Barboza's ability to adjust his rhythm could pose challenges for López.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The high-profile venue in Times Square could add pressure, but both fighters seem motivated and prepared.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with López looking to prove his skills against a formidable opponent and Barboza seeking to continue his undefeated streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Teofimo López: -260, Arnold Barboza Jr: 200 Teofimo López Not available
Over/under Over 10.5: -500, Under 10.5: 350 Under 10.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Teofimo Lopéz 117%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 10.5 275%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 275% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 78.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Teofimo López is favored due to his explosive power and athleticism, but Arnold Barboza Jr.'s technical skills and recent confidence make him a dangerous underdog.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Teofimo López


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Devin Haney vs. José Carlos Ramírez Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Devin Haney vs José Carlos Ramírez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:37 PM UTC
  • Location: Times Square, New York City, US

Game Overview

Devin Haney (31-0, 15 KOs) faces former unified 140lbs champion José Ramírez (29-2, 18 KOs) in a high-stakes clash. Haney aims to prove his durability post-Ryan Garcia's controversial no-contest bout, while Ramírez seeks redemption after a lackluster loss to Barboza Jr. The outdoor venue and timing add tactical pressure.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Haney's technical precision contrasts with Ramírez's aggressive pressure style. Haney's questionable chin (exposed vs Garcia) may be tested by Ramírez's 70% KO rate[4].
  • First professional meeting. Ramírez holds experience advantage in championship bouts.
  • No reported injuries. Haney's recovery from Garcia's beating (mentally/physically) remains unconfirmed[4].
  • Unique outdoor setting at Times Square could favor the more adaptable boxer. Early weather forecasts not provided.
  • Haney defends undefeated record; Ramírez fights to remain relevant in stacked 140lbs division[4].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Haney -1250 / Ramírez +700 Haney ML ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread -3.5 rounds Haney (-110) Haney -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 10.5 rounds (-160) Over 10.5 ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Devin Haney 460%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Devin Haney at 460% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 65.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Haney by decision (UD/SD) despite durability concerns. Ramírez's pressure will test Haney's stamina, but superior footwork and jab control should prevail.

Predicted Score: Haney 117-111 on scorecards


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