Match Analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-03
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, Germany
Game Overview
Borussia Dortmund, currently 6th in the Bundesliga, faces VfL Wolfsburg, 12th in the league. Dortmund is in strong form, having won six of their last ten matches, while Wolfsburg has struggled with five losses in the same period.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dortmund has been consistent at home, winning three of their last six matches, while Wolfsburg has lost half of their away games. Historically, Dortmund has dominated Wolfsburg in head-to-head matches.
- Dortmund has emerged victorious in 61% of their Bundesliga matches against Wolfsburg and hasn't lost to them in 11 consecutive home games.
- No significant injury updates are available at this time.
- Weather and crowd support are expected to favor Dortmund.
- Dortmund's motivation for a top-four finish is high, while Wolfsburg is out of the European football race.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Dortmund: -305, Wolfsburg: 650, Draw: 500 | Dortmund win | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Spread | Dortmund: -1.5 -120, Wolfsburg: 1.5 100 | Dortmund to cover | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 3.5: -118, Under 3.5: -102 | Over 3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Borussia Dortmund 388% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.5 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Borussia Dortmund at 388% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 59.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the strong performance of Dortmund and their favorable head-to-head record, they are likely to win.
Predicted Score: 3-1 in favor of Dortmund