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Christian Avalos vs. Jose Estrada Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Christian Avalos vs Jose Estrada – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hard Rock Casino, Sacramento, California

Game Overview

Christian 'Land Shark' Avalos, the reigning A1 Combat Lightweight Champion, is set to defend his title against Jose 'Froggy' Estrada on May 2, 2025. This bout marks a significant challenge for both fighters as they face off in the main event of A1 Combat 27. Given Avalos's strong reputation and title defense, he enters the match as a heavy favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Christian Avalos has a dominant performance record, and his status as the reigning champion suggests a strong skillset. Jose Estrada, although less renowned, may still pose a threat with potential upset strategies.
  • There is no reported prior bout between the two fighters, which means this will be their first encounter.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter leading up to the match.
  • The home crowd might slightly favor Avalos due to his higher profile, but Estrada may have some local support in Sacramento.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated—Avalos to retain his title and Estrada for the title opportunity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -1400 (Avalos), 800 (Estrada) Christian Avalos to win ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Christian Avalos -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Christian Avalos at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christian Avalos is predicted to win this bout due to his strong title defense record and current form.

Predicted Score: Decision or TKO in favor of Christian Avalos


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Jeremy Stephens vs. Mason Jones Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 2:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa

Game Overview

Jeremy Stephens returns to the UFC to face Mason Jones in a lightweight bout at UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Figueiredo. Stephens has a competitive track record in MMA and additional experience in boxing and bare-knuckle fighting, while Jones is favored due to his recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jeremy Stephens has had varied success across MMA, boxing, and bare-knuckle fighting. Mason Jones is entering with strong momentum.
  • This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
  • No specific injury reports for either fighter are mentioned.
  • The event takes place in Des Moines, which might favor Stephens due to potential crowd support.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Stephens seeking a strong comeback in the UFC and Jones looking to maintain his winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Stephens: +425, Jones: -575 Mason Jones ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Stephens: 3.5 +180, Jones: -3.5 -250 Mason Jones to win by decision or finish ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 2.5: +105, Under 2.5: -135 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mason Jones -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mason Jones is predicted to win due to his strong current form and favorable odds.

Predicted Score: Mason Jones by TKO/KO in the second round


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Yana Santos vs. Miesha Tate Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Yana Santos vs Miesha Tate – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 1:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa

Game Overview

Women's Bantamweight Bout between seasoned veteran Miesha Tate (20-9) and Yana Santos (15-8, 1NC). Tate returns with wrestling-focused experience, while Santos brings striking versatility.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tate holds notable wins over elite competition but is 1-2 in her last three bouts. Santos shows consistency with a 3-2 UFC record, including recent technical decision wins.
  • First meeting between fighters.
  • No reported injuries pre-fight.
  • Event streams live on ESPN+, with potential judging scrutiny due to Iowa's limited UFC event history.
  • Tate seeks redemption after recent losses; Santos aims to climb rankings with high-profile win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tate -142 / Santos +120 Miesha Tate ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Tate -3.5 (+150) / Santos +3.5 (-205) Santos +3.5 covers ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-395) / Under 2.5 (+280) Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Miesha Tate -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Miesha Tate by decision (confidence based on grappling control and cage experience)

Predicted Score: Decision victory (3-round bout)


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Marina Rodriguez vs. Gillian Robertson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Marina Rodriguez vs Gillian Robertson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 12:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, IA

Game Overview

Strawweight bout between No. 9-ranked Marina Rodriguez (17-5-2) and No. 12 Gillian Robertson (15-8) at UFC Fight Night prelims. Rodriguez (1-4 in last 5) faces Robertson (5-1 in last 6), who thrives since returning to 115lbs in 2023.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rodriguez averages 4.64 significant strikes/min (46% accuracy) with 55% defense. Robertson lands 2.89/min (48% accuracy) with 56% defense. Rodriguez struggles against grapplers, while Robertson excels in ground control.
  • First meeting between fighters.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Strawweight division is wide open; winner could enter title conversation. Rodriguez’s recent split-decision losses suggest judging trends may favor activity over control time.
  • Robertson (-305 favorite) seeks sixth win in seven fights to secure Top 10 status. Rodriguez (+245 underdog) fights to avoid three-fight skid and career decline.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Robertson -305 / Rodriguez +245 Robertson ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Robertson -3.5 (-120) / Rodriguez +3.5 (-110) Robertson -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-238) / Under 2.5 (+180) Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gillian Robertson -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Robertson by decision (70% confidence) via superior grappling control and Rodriguez’s declining takedown defense. Rodriguez’s striking edge unlikely to offset Robertson’s ground dominance over three rounds.

Predicted Score: Robertson by unanimous decision (29-28 x3)


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Ryan Loder vs. Azamat Bekoev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Ryan Loder vs Azamat Bekoev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, IA

Game Overview

Middleweight bout featuring Ryan 'Man of Steel' Loder (8-1-0) vs Azamat 'Iron' Bekoev (19-3-0). Both fighters are coming off successful UFC debuts, with Loder showcasing wrestling pedigree and Bekoev demonstrating higher striking volume (6.85 vs 6.16 sig. strikes/min).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bekoev holds significant edge in professional experience (19 wins vs 8). Loder's wrestling background could neutralize Bekoev's striking advantage if he implements grappling-heavy approach.
  • First meeting between fighters.
  • No reported injuries pre-fight.
  • Event takes place in Loder's home country (USA vs Russia) but no clear venue advantage specified.
  • Critical matchup for establishing position in UFC middleweight division, with both fighters seeking second consecutive UFC win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bekoev -410 | Loder +320 Azamat Bekoev ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread Bekoev -3.5 (-205) | Loder +3.5 (+150) Bekoev -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-115) | Under 2.5 (-115) Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Azamat Bekoev -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bekoev by decision (60% confidence) – superior striking volume (6.85/min vs 6.16) and defensive metrics suggest he can outpoint Loder if kept standing. Potential for Loder submission upset if fight hits mat.

Predicted Score: Bekoev via unanimous decision (29-28)


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Gaston Bolanos vs. Quang Le Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Gaston Bolanos vs Quang Le – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa

Game Overview

The upcoming UFC bantamweight bout between Gaston Bolanos and Quang Le is a significant matchup for both fighters seeking to solidify their positions in the UFC. Bolanos, with a record of 8-4, has shown strong striking skills, while Le, 8-2, has faced setbacks in his recent UFC appearances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bolanos has secured six of his eight wins via knockout and has a solid UFC performance record. Le, known for his knockout potential, has struggled in recent fights, losing to Chris Gutierrez and Xiao Long.
  • This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight is part of a major UFC event, which could impact performance due to the high stakes.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a win and improve their UFC standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bolanos: -130, Le: 110 Gaston Bolanos ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Bolanos: -3.5 125, Le: 3.5 -175 Gaston Bolanos ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -166, Under: 2.5 130 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gaston Bolanos 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gaston Bolanos at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gaston Bolanos is favored to win due to his consistent performances and well-rounded skills.

Predicted Score: Gaston Bolanos wins via decision (30-27 or similar).


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Thomas Petersen vs. Don'Tale Mayes Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Thomas Petersen vs Don'Tale Mayes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 11:20 PM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines, IA

Game Overview

The fight between Thomas Petersen and Don'Tale Mayes is a heavyweight bout taking place at UFC Fight Night on May 3, 2025. Both fighters are looking to rebound from recent losses. Petersen is known for his wrestling background, while Mayes brings a significant physical presence and knockout power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Thomas Petersen has a record of 9-3 but has struggled with striking defense. Don'Tale Mayes has an 11-8 record and has been inconsistent, losing two straight fights.
  • There is no significant head-to-head data available for this match.
  • No notable injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • Both fighters are motivated to start a winning streak after recent defeats.
  • High motivation on both sides to secure a victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Thomas Petersen: -255, Don'Tale Mayes: 215 Thomas Petersen Not available
Over/under over: -154, under: 124 Over 2.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Thomas Petersen 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Thomas Petersen is favored to win due to his wrestling background and recent form, but Mayes' size and knockout power could pose a challenge.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA fights


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Juliana Miller vs. Ivana Petrovic Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Juliana Miller vs Ivana Petrovic – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 11:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines, IA

Game Overview

Flyweight bout between Juliana Miller (4-3-0, 1-2 UFC), an aggressive striker with defensive vulnerabilities, and Ivana Petrovic (7-2-0, 1-2 UFC), a durable southpaw with superior reach and decision-oriented style. Miller's UFC future may hinge on this fight[2][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Miller lands 3.31 significant strikes/min (45% accuracy) but absorbs 4.75/min (32% defense). Petrovic lands 2.00/min (39% accuracy) while allowing only 2.27/min (55% defense)[1].
  • First meeting between fighters.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Miller's 18-month layoff vs. Petrovic's recent activity. 5'8" Petrovic holds 4" reach advantage[1][2].
  • Miller potentially fighting for UFC roster spot; Petrovic seeking second UFC win[2][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Petrovic -220 / Miller +185 Petrovic moneyline ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -210 / Under 2.5 +170 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ivana Petrovic 85%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ivana Petrovic at 85% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Petrovic by decision (confidence: 75%) via superior defense, reach advantage, and Miller's tendency to fade against technical strikers[1][2][5].

Predicted Score: Petrovic via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)


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Jared Warren vs. Joseph Creer Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jared Warren vs Joseph Creer – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OCC Road House & Museum in Clearwater, FL

Game Overview

Jared Warren, the former BKFC World Light-Heavyweight Champion, faces Joseph Creer in the main event of BKFC Fight Night Clearwater. Warren has a strong background and experience, while Creer is highly motivated and making significant strides in his career.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jared Warren has a notable record and experience in the BKFC, while Joseph Creer is hungry for success after transitioning from his military career to martial arts.
  • There is no recorded match between the two, but stylistically, Creer’s adaptability and Warren’s championship experience make for a compelling contest.
  • No injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The fight is at the OCC Road House & Museum in Clearwater, a venue that could potentially favor the hometown favorite if applicable, though both are U.S.-based fighters.
  • Creer is highly motivated due to his personal journey and ambition for a title shot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jared Warren: -175, Joseph Creer: +135 Jared Warren to win ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jared Warren -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jared Warren at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jared Warren's experience gives him an edge, but Joseph Creer's hunger for success and strong preparation could lead to a competitive fight.

Predicted Score: No specific score prediction for MMA fights, but Warren is favored.


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Terrance Saeteurn vs. Isiah Torres Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Terrance Saeteurn vs Isiah Torres – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hard Rock Casino, Sacramento, California

Game Overview

Terrance Saeteurn is defending his Flyweight Championship title against Isiah Torres at A1 Combat 27. Saeteurn, representing Nobody MMA, faces Torres from Grizzly Fighting Systems in what promises to be a competitive bout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Terrance Saeteurn is the current champion, while Isiah Torres is on a three-fight win streak.
  • No previous head-to-head match between Saeteurn and Torres.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight will be live on UFC Fight Pass, which may add pressure due to increased visibility.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated; Saeteurn aims to retain his title, and Torres seeks to win a championship.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Isiah Torres: +250, Terrance Saeteurn: -400 Terrance Saeteurn ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Terrance Saeteurn -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Terrance Saeteurn is likely to win due to his championship experience and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round stoppage for Saeteurn.


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